Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
017 FNUS52 KILM 270750 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 350 AM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024 .DISCUSSION... Hot and humid conditions continue today with a good chance for afternoon storms. A few storms could be strong or severe. Remaining hot and humid this weekend with another cold front approaching the area late this weekend. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Moderate. NCZ105>110-280000- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 350 AM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 60 60 50 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 4 3 Max/Min Temp 95 70 91 Min/Max RH (%) 51 100 57 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var SE 6 Precip Amount 0.33 0.30 0.07 Precip Duration 1 3 2 Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0800 2000 80/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5100 4600 Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 E 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 51000 46000 ADI Early 40 Fair 23 Fair 40 Fair ADI Late 45 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 52 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 5 6 9 Max LVORI Late 3 9 1 Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-280000- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 350 AM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 70 60 50 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 4 3 Max/Min Temp 96 70 93 Min/Max RH (%) 47 100 51 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4 Precip Amount 0.24 0.15 0.08 Precip Duration 2 2 2 Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing 6 AM Precip End Continuing 12 AM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0800 2000 79/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 4 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 6300 Transport Wind (mph) W 9 SE 13 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 51300 81900 ADI Early 31 Fair 33 Fair 42 Gen Good ADI Late 46 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 69 Good Max LVORI Early 6 6 9 Max LVORI Late 1 9 1 Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Light winds. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-280000- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 350 AM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 60 70 50 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 5 4 3 Max/Min Temp 97 71 92 Min/Max RH (%) 47 100 58 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var SE 5 Precip Amount 0.34 0.25 0.05 Precip Duration 1 3 2 Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0800 1900 80/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 4600 Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 SE 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61000 55200 ADI Early 37 Fair 21 Fair 33 Fair ADI Late 44 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 46 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 6 6 9 Max LVORI Late 3 9 2 Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability B E A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-280000- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 350 AM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 70 60 50 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 4 3 Max/Min Temp 98 70 93 Min/Max RH (%) 45 100 54 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4 Precip Amount 0.25 0.15 0.06 Precip Duration 2 2 2 Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing 6 AM Precip End Continuing 1 AM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0800 2000 79/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500 6100 Transport Wind (mph) W 9 SE 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58500 61000 ADI Early 30 Fair 22 Fair 32 Fair ADI Late 54 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 58 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 6 7 9 Max LVORI Late 2 9 1 Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Light winds. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation below normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...21