Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
346 FNUS52 KILM 221314 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 914 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024 .DISCUSSION... Warmer and more humid conditions with increased rain chances are expected this weekend with the passage of a surface boundary enhancing the rain potential Monday. Afternoon heat indices will approach or even exceed Heat Advisory thresholds of 105+ degrees for many areas next week. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. However, during this afternoon and evening, Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain becomes Unfavorable Type 1-F...Direction S...Maximum Wind 22 mph at 900 ft. Fog potential for tonight is Low, mainly away from the coast. NCZ105>110-230515- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 914 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024 Today Tonight Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 0 40 Precip Type Tstms None Tstms LAL 2 1 3 Max/Min Temp 92 72 92 Min/Max RH (%) 55 100 57 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 S 5 Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 6 S 4 S 9 G19 Precip Amount 0.04 0.00 0.02 Precip Duration 1 2 Precip Begin 10 AM 6 AM Precip End 5 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2100 78/0800 Dispersion Poor Haines Index 3 4 3 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 5000 Transport Wind (mph) S 9 S 20 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42300 100000 ADI Early 29 Fair 59 Gen Good 68 Good ADI Late 64 Good 6 Very Poor 85 Good Max LVORI Early 9 5 9 Max LVORI Late 2 7 2 Min VSBY Early 0 Rain 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability A E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ096-099-230515- Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 914 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024 Today Tonight Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 40 Precip Type None None Tstms LAL 2 1 3 Max/Min Temp 94 72 93 Min/Max RH (%) 48 100 55 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 S 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var S 7 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 Precip Duration 2 Precip Begin 8 AM Precip End Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2100 77/0800 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6200 5000 Transport Wind (mph) S 12 S 18 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 74400 90000 ADI Early 34 Fair 72 Good 68 Good ADI Late 77 Good 7 Poor 93 Good Max LVORI Early 9 5 9 Max LVORI Late 1 7 1 Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability A F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Light winds. $$ NCZ087-230515- Robeson- Including the city of Lumberton 914 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024 Today Tonight Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 40 Precip Type None None Tstms LAL 2 1 3 Max/Min Temp 94 72 93 Min/Max RH (%) 45 100 53 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 7 S 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var S 7 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.04 Precip Duration 1 Precip Begin 8 AM Precip End Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0800 2100 77/0800 Dispersion Fair Haines Index 4 4 4 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6900 5000 Transport Wind (mph) S 10 S 17 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 69000 85000 ADI Early 35 Fair 83 Good 69 Good ADI Late 82 Good 8 Poor 70 Good Max LVORI Early 9 4 8 Max LVORI Late 1 6 1 Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability A E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 37 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 37 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-230515- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 914 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024 Today Tonight Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 10 0 50 Precip Type Showers None Tstms LAL 2 2 3 Max/Min Temp 92 72 90 Min/Max RH (%) 55 100 64 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 S 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 7 Lgt/Var S 7 G17 Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.06 Precip Duration 1 2 Precip Begin 12 PM 6 AM Precip End 5 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 2100 77/0800 Dispersion Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 4500 Transport Wind (mph) S 14 S 16 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 75600 72000 ADI Early 45 Gen Good 62 Good 54 Gen Good ADI Late 76 Good 6 Very Poor 67 Good Max LVORI Early 9 6 9 Max LVORI Late 2 7 2 Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 7 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain Turner Stability B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-230515- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 914 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024 Today Tonight Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 0 50 Precip Type Tstms None Tstms LAL 2 2 3 Max/Min Temp 93 71 92 Min/Max RH (%) 49 100 59 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 6 Lgt/Var S 5 Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.11 Precip Duration 1 2 Precip Begin 1 PM 8 AM Precip End 6 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2100 76/0800 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 4800 Transport Wind (mph) S 13 S 14 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 83200 67200 ADI Early 50 Gen Good 77 Good 53 Gen Good ADI Late 87 Good 6 Very Poor 55 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 9 5 9 Max LVORI Late 1 9 1 Min VSBY Early 0 Rain 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability A F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 40 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Light winds. $$ SCZ017-023-024-230515- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 914 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024 Today Tonight Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 40 Precip Type None None Tstms LAL 2 2 3 Max/Min Temp 94 72 93 Min/Max RH (%) 44 100 52 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var S 5 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.07 Precip Duration 1 Precip Begin 8 AM Precip End Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2000 76/0800 Dispersion Poor Haines Index 4 4 4 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6900 5000 Transport Wind (mph) S 12 S 13 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 82800 65000 ADI Early 38 Fair 75 Good 59 Gen Good ADI Late 85 Good 6 Very Poor 63 Good Max LVORI Early 9 4 9 Max LVORI Late 1 9 1 Min VSBY Early 1 Fog 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability A E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 37 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 37 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation below normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...Bright