Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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072 FXUS64 KSJT 181953 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 253 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024 ...New SHORT TERM... .SHORT TERM...
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(This evening through Thursday) Issued at 236 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024 Little change to the forecast the next 24 hours. Short wave ridging will prevail across the southern Plains, with dry and unseasonably warm temperatures continuing. Skies will be mostly clear tonight, with overnight lows in the low to mid 70s. Temperatures tomorrow will be very near or perhaps a degree or two warmer than today, with afternoon highs topping out in the mid and upper 90s.
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&& .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through next Wednesday) Issued at 152 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024 Above-normal and dry conditions are expected to continue on Friday as the ridge persists. Things start to get a little more interesting as a shortwave trough approaches this weekend from the west. Models are still going back and forth on exactly how much of an impact this system will have on our weather here in West Central Texas, so there`s still quite a bit of uncertainty in our forecast starting late Saturday and continuing into early next week. Right now, it looks like the majority of rainfall with this system should remain to our north. However, the GFS is showing the potential for some rain this weekend through Monday along a frontal boundary associated with this upper low. It looks like we could see breezy conditions this weekend, with winds around 10 to 20 mph, with gusts approaching 30 mph at times. Additional rain chances will be possible along the frontal boundary as its pushed south through our area Tuesday into Wednesday. Cooler temperatures will accompany this system, likely dropping highs back near-normal in the mid to upper 80s. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1242 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024 Expect some scattered afternoon cumulus clouds this afternoon, with mainly clear skies to tonight. South winds will gust between 15 and 20 knots primarily at KSJT and KJCT this afternoon, with light winds across the terminals by early evening. Could see some stratus develop again towards daybreak across the southern terminals but coverage uncertainty will preclude mentioning in the forecast at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 74 96 73 96 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 73 96 72 96 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 72 95 70 95 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 72 96 71 96 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 74 96 73 96 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 73 93 71 93 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 71 94 71 94 / 0 0 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...24 LONG TERM....AP AVIATION...24