Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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807 FXUS64 KFWD 230337 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1037 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024 ...New Short Term, Aviation... .SHORT TERM...
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/NEW/ /Tonight Through Sunday Night/ A stagnant weather pattern will continue as we head into next week with high pressure remaining anchored from the Desert Southwest to the Lower Mississippi Valley. Most locations should stay just below 100 degrees Sunday afternoon, but max heat index values will average between 100 and 105. There will be some relief from the heat both tonight and Sunday night with lows falling into the 70s for most. Subsidence under the ridge and shallow moisture will hinder any showers/storms from developing, but fair weather cumulus will be present during the day. Overall, the wind will remain from the south in the 5 to 10 mph range through Sunday night, but it may briefly become southwesterly Sunday afternoon. Any southwesterly wind component may push temperatures over 100 degrees, especially west of the I-35 corridor. 79
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&& .LONG TERM... /Issued 258 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024/ /Sunday Night through the End of the Week/ The main headline for the extended period features the return of summer heat across North and Central Texas. An upper level ridge will remain in place through the start of next week. This will allow afternoon highs to gradually creep into the triple digits, with the frequency of triple digit readings increasing as we move through the end of the week. Heat indices will meet and even exceed 105 degrees at times, so heat products will likely be needed as we close out the month of June. Make sure to keep an eye on yourself and others, especially for those more vulnerable to heat illnesses. Most of the area will remain dry through the period, with a few exceptions across portions of North and East Texas on Wednesday and perhaps into Thursday. This will be directly related to the upper level ridge, which will slowly drift westward. As the ridge moves west, we will be placed in northerly flow around the periphery of the high. This may allow a weak front and surface boundaries to push south into the region. Because of this minor pattern change, low rain chances will remain in the forecast through the middle of the upcoming week. This low potential for isolated thunderstorms will do very little to stop the heat though, so continue to stay cool and hydrated as we settle in for the summer heat ahead. Reeves && .AVIATION...
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/NEW/ /06Z TAFs/ Excellent flying weather will continue across North and Central Texas through Sunday night with a mostly clear sky at night and few to scattered Cu during the day. A south to southwest wind will remain in the 5 to 11 knot range though Sunday night with occasional higher daytime gusts. 79
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&& .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 78 99 80 99 81 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 74 96 76 97 78 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 75 97 77 97 78 / 0 0 0 5 0 Denton 76 99 76 100 79 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 76 98 78 99 79 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 78 99 79 100 81 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 75 97 75 97 78 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 76 97 77 98 79 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 73 96 75 97 76 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 74 98 75 99 79 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$