917
FNAK79 PAFG 270246
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 252 Deception Pup...Alaska Fire Service
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
646 PM AKDT Wed Jun 26 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 AKDT on June 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT
AKDT FRIDAY NIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...

Thunderstorms remain to the south and west of the fire this
evening. Northeasterly winds diminish tonight with good Light
winds through the night with good overnight RH recovery. For
Thursday, another hot and dry day with minimum RH near 25 percent,
though winds are expected to be lighter. Widely scattered
thunderstorms develop off the high terrain to the south and west
of the fire, with potential for outflow boundaries to spawn new
storms near the fire through the evening. Storms may be strong,
with potential to produce gusty winds and small hail.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Areas of
                    smoke through the night.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 10 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 8 mph.
Inversion setup.....11 pm.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (50-60 percent). Areas of smoke through
                    the day. Isolated thunderstorms after 3 pm.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL increasing to 7100 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 8 mph.
Inversion burnoff...10 am.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the night. Widely scattered thunderstorms
                    before 11 pm.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest overnight. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 6 mph.
Inversion setup.....12 am.

$$
Forecaster...QUESADA
Requested by...YTDC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416704.2/AFG
.DELDT 06/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0