472
FNAK79 PAFG 251245
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 119 McDonald...Yukon Dispatch Center
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
445 AM AKDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 AKDT on June 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Another hot and dry day with high temperatures in the low 80s and
min RHs near 30%. There is a chance for isolated storms near the
fire this afternoon and evening before diminishing to rain showers
overnight. After very good RH recovery tonight, min RHs tank into
the low 20% range tomorrow afternoon with warmer temperatures and
a greater risk for thunderstorms. These thunderstorms will be
high based and may come with dry lightning and gusty, erratic
winds to 30 mph. Overall, sustained winds will remain mostly light
through Wednesday.

Thursday is setting up to be a very active day with scattered wet
thunderstorms in the afternoon which could bring locally heavy
rain, frequent lightning, gusty/erratic winds and small hail.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Haze and areas of
                    smoke through the day. Isolated showers early
                    in the morning. Isolated thunderstorms through
                    the day. Scattered showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL increasing to 5900 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9 AM AKDT.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Haze in the
                    evening. Scattered rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......South winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 4 mph.
Inversion setup.....12 AM AKDT.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    scattered rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......South winds around 5 mph becoming east at
                    8 to 12 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL increasing to 8000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 8 mph.
Inversion burnoff...8 AM AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Light
winds.

$$
Forecaster...BIANCO
Requested by...Casey Lasota
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416117.22/AFG
.DELDT 06/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0