Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
229 FNUS53 KAPX 200711 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 311 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024 ...Showers, slight chances for storms today... .DISCUSSION...Ongoing showers will continue this morning as they gradually work across much of northern lower Michigan, eventually diminishing with time into this afternoon. Slight chances for thunderstorms will be possible into tonight. Otherwise, cooler temperatures are finally in store for today as most of the area will see highs in the mid to upper 70s. Northwest winds around 5 mph are anticipated for most of northern Michigan today, and may gust to 15 mph at times this afternoon. No RH concerns are anticipated through the upcoming weekend. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-202015- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 311 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Numerous rain showers until 1200. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Scattered rain showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....72-77...except 63-68 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........51-56 percent. 24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter...except 11 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (161). Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.29 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Isolated showers until 2400. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Scattered showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....60-65. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 73-78 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (24). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.13 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers. Max Temperature.....74-79...except around 71 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Min Humidity........58-63 percent. 24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (161). Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.41 in. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-202015- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 311 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....74-79...except 61-66 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......18 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........59-64 percent. 24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter...except 27 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (133). Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.36 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of thunderstorms and isolated rain showers. Min Temperature.....59-64. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Max Humidity........88-93 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (17). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in . .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain showers. Max Temperature.....79-84...except 61-66 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer. Min Humidity........57-62 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (130). Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.39 in . $$ MIZ020-025>027-202015- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 311 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Numerous rain showers until 1200. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Scattered rain showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....72-77...except 59-64 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler...except 10 degrees cooler near the coast. Min Humidity........63-68 percent. 24 HR Trend......25 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (123). Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.36 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Isolated rain showers until 2400. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Scattered rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....60-65. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Max Humidity........90-95 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (24). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in . .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy fog until 1200. Chance of rain showers. Max Temperature.....76-81...except 62-67 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........64-69 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 8 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (152). Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the south around 9 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.21 in. $$ MIZ031>033-202015- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 311 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of thunderstorms until 1200. Scattered showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....74-79. 24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........67-72 percent. 24 HR Trend......23 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (158). Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.34 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of thunderstorms and isolated showers. Patchy fog after 2400. Min Temperature.....62-67. 24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler. Max Humidity........88-93 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (32). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.22 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog until 1200. Chance of showers. Max Temperature.....78-83...except 70-75 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........66-71 percent. 24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (188). Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the southwest around 9 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.17 in . $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-202015- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 311 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of thunderstorms until 1200. Scattered rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....76-81. 24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........58-63 percent. 24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (167). Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.67 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of thunderstorms and isolated showers. Patchy fog after 2400. Min Temperature.....60-65. 24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler. Max Humidity........90-95 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (17). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in . .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog until 1200. Chance of showers. Max Temperature.....80-85. 24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer. Min Humidity........61-66 percent. 24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (182). Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.27 in. $$ .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ DJC