Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 181317
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for ACB Burn 24-001 Boyd Lake SP...OTHER
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
717 AM MDT Wed Sep 18 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION... Today will be dry with plenty of sunshine. Dew
points will be a lot lower today leading to minimum relative
humidity of around 10-15 percent. The tricky part of the forecast
will be the afternoon wind speeds. In the morning there will be
light winds generally below 8 mph. By the afternoon, winds will be
predominately light but some gusts that could reach as high as 30
mph will be scattered throughout.

Tonight, winds will weaken with no precipitation. Dry conditions
continue on Thursday with light southeast winds in the afternoon.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........13 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph until 0900. 9 to 14
                    mph after 1400.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0900. 9400 ft AGL after
                    1400.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 17 mph until 1500, then west 16
                    to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1100, then good until 1300, then
                    very good until 1500, then excellent until
                    1600, then very good.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   7   8   8   8   7   6   5   4   5   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............46  51  56  63  68  73  78  81  81  83  82
RH..............70  62  51  36  28  22  16  15  14  13  13
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   7   8   9   10  12  12  10
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   9   12  13  15  16  18  18  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.3 2.5 4.8 6.9 7.8 9.2 9.5 8.9 8.2
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   6   8   12  15  15  17  17  20  18  17
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   3   9   26  62  90  117 138 161 142 123
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   G   G   VG  VG  E   VG  VG

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 11 mph until 2000, then
                    northwest until 2300, then 5 to 13 mph until
                    0200, then west around 6 mph until 0300, then
                    northwest 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL until 1900, then Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 14 mph until 2300. Northwest 8 to 9
                    mph after 0400.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 1900, then poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........6   5   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............80  76  69  66  63  62  60  57  55  52  50  49
RH..............14  17  22  25  29  30  32  36  40  45  47  49
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  N   W   NW  NW  W
20 FT wind spd..9   8   8   9   8   8   8   7   6   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.15  13  13  15  13  13  13  12  9   9   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.14  8   8   9   9   9   9   8   7   7   6   7
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..43  4   4   5   5   4   4   3   2   2   2   4
SmokeDispersion.F   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........14 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph until 0900, then
                    variable up to 5 mph until 1100, then southeast
                    6 to 11 mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 1000, then 3600 ft AGL
                    until 1200, then 7900 ft AGL until 1700, then
                    4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 9 mph until 0800, then light until
                    1100, then south 8 to 13 mph until 1700, then
                    southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1200, then fair until 1300, then
                    good until 1700, then poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   5   4   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   5   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............48  49  53  58  66  70  76  80  82  83  84  83
RH..............57  57  51  42  32  26  21  18  16  15  14  15
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   SW  S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   3   3   3   3   6   8   9   10  10  10  9
20 FT wind gust.7   6   6   6   6   9   13  15  16  16  16  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.3 0.9 2.1 4.0 6.0 7.0 7.9 8.9 6.5 4.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.6   6   3   3   6   8   10  10  12  12  10  10
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   2   1   3   10  28  54  65  77  89  61  36
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   F   G   G   G   G   P

$$
Forecaster...Danielson
Requested by...John Sanfilippo
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2422520.2/BOU
.DELDT 09/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL john.sanfilippo@state.co.us