Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Cheyenne, WY

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335
FNUS75 KCYS 260016
FWSCYS

Spot Forecast for Eagle Eye...USFS
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
616 PM MDT Tue Jun 25 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service at (307) 772-2227

.DISCUSSION...

There is a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm early this evening. If
a storm approaches, gusty and erratic surface winds and occasional lightning
would be the primary hazards. Excellent RH recoveries near 90 percent are
expected overnight. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are
expected in the vicinity of the burn area late Wednesday afternoon through
the evening, especially after 4 PM. Once again, gusty and erratic surface
winds will be possible. Strong southerly surface winds are possible during
the overnight with gusts over 45 MPH possible due to the low level jet.
Winds will not be as strong on Thursday, but another round of showers and
storms is expected once again.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of a shower or
                    thunderstorm.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....57-62 degrees.
Max humidity........83-87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast 8 to 12 MPH, becoming light and variable
                    in direction. Gusty and erratic winds possible near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......Greater than 12000 feet AGL this evening, decreasing
                    to 500 to 1000 feet AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 MPH.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent early in the evening, then becoming poor
                    overnight.
Haines Index........3 to 4 (Very Low to Low).

TIME (MDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........2   4   7   6   8   9   14  15  20  17  25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............80  76  72  70  68  67  66  64  62  61  61
RH..............41  52  61  66  70  73  75  81  84  84  78
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   SE  E   E   N   N   N   NE
20 FT wind spd..14  12  12  9   7   6   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.22  18  17  15  12  8   9   8   9   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...6.9 3.5 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4
Transp wind dir.N   NE  E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.17  15  13  12  9   9   9   10  12  12  13
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/1000103 45  8   0   1   4   4   4   4   3   4

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny in the morning, then becoming partly
                    to mostly cloudy in the afternoon. A chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1600L.
CWR.................20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1600L, then 3.
Max temperature.....82-87 degrees.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable in direction early in the morning,
                    becoming east to southeast 10 to 15 MPH with gusts up
                    to 25 MPH after 1200L. Gusty and erratic winds possible
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......6000 to 8000 feet AGL In the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 MPH.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 (Very Low).

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  25  21  24  22  16  11  15  21  26  34  51
Weather cov.....                                    CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                                    RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                    CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3
Temp............60  61  62  65  69  72  76  79  81  83  82  80
RH..............78  75  72  65  59  53  48  42  39  37  38  42
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   9   10  12  12  13  12  12  12  12  13  13
20 FT wind gust.8   16  17  18  18  20  20  20  20  20  20  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.7 1.2 1.8 2.9 4.1 5.2 5.9 6.4 6.6 7.0 7.1
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.13  15  16  16  15  14  12  12  12  13  16  18
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/10006   9   16  26  38  47  53  58  66  76  95  114

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    in the evening.
CWR.................50 percent in the evening.
LAL.................4 until 2100L, then 2.
Min temperature.....58-63 degrees.
Max humidity........87-92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 25 to 35 MPH with gusts up to 45 MPH. Gusty
                    and erratic winds possible near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to around 500 feet AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 40 MPH overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Becoming poor overnight.
Haines Index........3 (Very Low).

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........61  67  71  72  70  67  65  62  58  54  48  44
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY LKY LKY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............50  50  50  50  50  50  0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............4   4   4   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............78  74  70  69  67  67  66  65  64  63  63  63
RH..............47  53  66  68  75  75  78  81  84  86  87  88
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..14  13  13  14  14  15  16  17  17  17  15  14
20 FT wind gust.22  21  20  21  21  23  25  26  29  28  23  22
Mix hgt (kft)...6.7 5.4 3.8 2.3 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.21  21  22  23  28  33  37  37  33  31  30  29
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/1000122 100 70  46  41  42  44  36  29  22  16  12

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly to mostly cloudy. A chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................30 percent in the afternoon.
LAL.................1 until 1500, then 3.
Max temperature.....88-93 degrees.
Min humidity........28-33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 15 to 20 MPH with gusts up to 30 MPH.
Mixing height.......Increasing to around 12000 feet AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West to southwest around 30 MPH.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 (Very Low to Low).

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........40  42  44  46  48  49  51  53  54  56  57  59
Weather cov.....                        LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                    CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   30  30  30  30  30  30
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3
Temp............62  65  69  72  76  80  84  86  87  88  87  86
RH..............89  83  77  69  58  49  41  37  34  31  32  34
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..17  16  15  14  14  13  13  13  14  14  15  16
20 FT wind gust.26  23  21  17  16  14  14  15  16  18  21  23
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.9 2.9 4.4 6.7 9.0 11  11  10
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   SW
Transp wind spd.28  24  21  18  16  16  16  16  17  17  15  13
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100010  10  12  19  27  41  61  95  133 157 144 116

$$
Forecaster...Hammer
Requested by...Caleb Meyer
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416703.0/CYS
.DELDT 06/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL caleb.meyer@usda.gov