Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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009
FNUS21 KWNS 070700
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0200 AM CDT Fri Jun 07 2024

Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

...Synopsis...
Along the western periphery of a mid/upper-level ridge centered over
the southern Plains, diurnal heating amid a warm/dry antecedent air
mass will yield 10-15 percent RH across much of the Southwest and
southern High Plains. Over portions of northern/central AZ into
southern NV, a glancing midlevel shortwave trough will promote 15-20
mph sustained south-southwesterly surface winds -- favoring elevated
fire-weather conditions (given receptive fuels). Farther east over
east-central NM into far west TX, breezy/gusty southerly surface
winds will develop in response to a deepening lee cyclone over the
central High Plains, which will also contribute to elevated
fire-weather conditions during the afternoon.

Additionally, a plume of midlevel moisture will remain in place atop
the dry/deeply mixed boundary layer across much of the Southwest
into the southern High Plains -- with sufficient instability for
isolated/widely scattered diurnally driven thunderstorms. Deep
inverted-V thermodynamic profiles will favor high-based
thunderstorms with limited precipitation potential. As a result,
isolated lightning-induced ignitions are possible over the receptive
fuels across the region.

..Weinman.. 06/07/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$