Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
463 FNUS21 KWNS 091550 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1050 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024 Valid 091700Z - 101200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 06/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0157 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... A weak midlevel ridge will remain in place across the southern Rockies into the Southwest, favoring continued warm/dry conditions across the region. Along the western periphery of the ridge, a subtle midlevel impulse will track northeastward, weakening the ridge and promoting a modest surface pressure gradient across southern AZ, southern NM, and the western Trans-Pecos -- west of a weak lee cyclone over southwest TX. As a result, breezy (15-20 mph) sustained west-southwesterly surface winds will overlap single-digit to lower-teens RH, favoring elevated fire-weather conditions across these areas. The aforementioned impulse will also support mixed wet/dry high-based thunderstorms across NM, though ample midlevel moisture and very slow storm motions should support wetting rain with most of these storms -- precluding Dry Thunderstorm highlights. Nevertheless, an isolated lightning-induced ignition cannot be ruled out away from the heavier rain cores. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$