Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
515
FNUS22 KWNS 291904
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0203 PM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024

Valid 301200Z - 011200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN GREAT
BASIN...

...20z Update...
Minimal changes have been made to the valid outlook. The ISODRYT
area was expanded north into southeast OR to better capture expected
storm coverage over the eastern Cascades. Otherwise, please see the
prior discussion for more information.

..Lyons.. 06/29/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0158 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/

...Synopsis...
An upper ridge will become established over the central CONUS as a
mid-level trough and associated upper support overspreads the
Interior West tomorrow (Sunday). Stronger flow aloft mixing down to
the surface via boundary-layer mixing by afternoon peak heating will
support dry and windy conditions that support wildfire spread. The
best chance for Critical conditions will be over southeastern Nevada
into western Utah, where 20+ mph sustained southwesterly surface
winds will coincide with 5-15 percent RH and at least modestly
receptive fuels for several hours.

Meanwhile, at least isolated thunderstorm development is expected
ahead of a surface cold front accompanying the mid-level trough over
northeast California into southwestern Idaho. Though a mix of wet
and dry storms are possible, stronger mid-level flow aloft suggests
these storms should move quickly eastward, with minimal
precipitation accumulations. Given drying fuels in this region,
lightning-induced wildfire ignitions are possible, necessitating the
introduction of isolated dry thunderstorm highlights.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$