134
AXPZ20 KNHC 300311
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Thu May 30 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0300 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 09N84W to 07N120W. The ITCZ
continues from 07N120W to beyond 07N140W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 07N to 10N between 84W and 88W, from
08N to 10N between 111W and 115W, and from 07N to 09N between
130W and 132W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

High pressure prevails west of the Baja California peninsula. The
pressure gradient between the area of high pressure and a trough
over the Gulf of California is supporting moderate to fresh winds
west of the Baja California peninsula. Light to gentle winds
prevail over the remainder of the discussion waters. Recent
altimeter satellite passes indicate 5 to 6 ft combined seas are
west of the Baja California peninsula, and 4 to 5 ft over the
remainder of the open waters off Mexico, and 3 ft or less in the
Gulf of California. Hazy conditions persist off southern Mexico,
including the Gulf of Tehuantepec, due to agricultural fires over
southern Mexico and Central America. Visibilities may decrease
at times to 3 nm or less.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh NW to N winds will prevail off the
Baja California peninsula through early next week. Elsewhere,
light to gentle winds will prevail across the open waters. Seas
will build to 9 to 10 ft in long period NW swell off of Baja
California Norte tonight to Mon. Hazy conditions may persist off
southern Mexico, including the Gulf of Tehuantepec, due to
agricultural fires over S Mexico and Central America.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate to locally fresh gap winds are in the Gulf of Papagayo.
Light to gentle winds are elsewhere N of the monsoon trough.
Gentle to moderate winds prevail S of the monsoon trough. Seas
are in the 4-6 ft range. Hazy conditions continue off the
Central American coast due to agricultural fires in southern
Mexico and Central America. Visibilities may decrease at times to
3 nm or less.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh E gap winds are forecast across
the Papagayo region through Fri night. Elsewhere, gentle to
moderate winds will prevail for the next several days. Hazy skies
from smoke caused by agricultural fires over Mexico and Central
America may reduce visibilities over portions of the Central
American offshore waters the next few days.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure prevails N of 20N. The pressure gradient between
the area of high pressure and lower pressure in the vicinity of
the ITCZ and within the monsoon trough is supporting moderate to
fresh winds, and seas of 6-8 ft, N of the ITCZ/monsoon trough to
near 22N and W of 120W. Moderate winds, and seas of 5-6 ft, are
elsewhere N of 20N. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 4-5 ft,
are elsewhere N of the monsoon trough. Gentle to moderate winds,
and seas of 5-6 ft, prevail S of the ITCZ/monsoon trough.

For the forecast, little change is expected to the current
conditions over much of the area the next few days. The main
exception is N swell will move into the waters north of 25N and
east of 130W tonight through Fri, with seas peaking near 10 ft.

$$
Christensen