Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
626 FNUS74 KEPZ 210022 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for Antone Fire...GILA NATIONAL FOREST National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 622 PM MDT Thu Jun 20 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on June 21. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Breezy winds of 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 to 25 mph through Friday. Moisture and elevated RH values (between 40-50 percent) will lead to isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours. Gusty and erratic winds will be possible, especially in the vicinity of storms, lightning will also pose a threat. Rain chances remain through Friday night before decreasing during the early morning hours on Saturday. Daily afternoon and evening shower/thunderstorm chances continue through the weekend. High temperatures through the weekend will be in the middle to upper 70s, around 80 by Saturday and Sunday. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies through Friday (50-80 percent). Isolated to scattered showers and storms will be possible, especially during the afternoon and evening hours. Chance of pcpn......40 to 60 percent. LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. Max temperature.....middle to upper 70s. Min humidity........40 to 50 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 15 mph, with gusts to 20 to 25 mph. Exposed ridgelines and drainages could see higher gusts. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......6000-7000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 19 to 25 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (45300 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (95400 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........81 81 66 70 70 66 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 40 40 50 LAL.............1 1 1 4 4 5 Temp............57 58 66 71 77 73 RH..............83 86 65 53 41 49 20 ft wind......S 11 S 11 S 12 S 13 S 13 S 10 20 ft wind gust.18 18 18 20 20 17 Mix hgt (ft)....2000 2000 5200 5200 6000 6000 Transport wind..S 25 S 25 S 23 S 23 S 19 S 19 Haines index....2 2 2 2 2 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..45 45 88 88 95 95 Ventrate Cat....FAIR FAIR GOOD GOOD GOOD GOOD .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers and thunderstorms likely in the evening, then chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight. Chance of pcpn......60 percent, becoming 20 to 30 percent after midnight. LAL.................5 until 2400, then 4. Min temperature.....Middle to upper 50s. Max humidity........73 to 83 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 12 mph in the evening, becoming light overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing height.......200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 13 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (75400 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (2600 knot-ft) late in the night. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........73 73 77 81 81 77 Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE Chc of pcpn (%).60 60 60 50 50 30 LAL.............5 5 5 5 5 5 Temp............69 64 61 60 59 59 RH..............53 63 70 72 72 72 20 ft wind......S 8 S 8 S 8 S 6 S 6 S 4 20 ft wind gust.15 15 15 12 12 8 Mix hgt (ft)....4400 4400 1100 1100 200 200 Transport wind..S 20 S 20 S 15 S 15 S 13 S 13 Haines index....3 2 2 2 2 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..75 75 16 16 3 3 Ventrate Cat....GOOD GOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain showers in the morning, then showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4 until 1500, then 5. Max temperature.....Middle to upper 70s. Min humidity........40 to 50 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the east 6 to 8 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12300 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to fair (40600 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........73 67 76 78 Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE CHANCE LIKELY Chc of pcpn (%).30 30 70 70 LAL.............1 1 5 5 Temp............58 63 73 73 RH..............77 67 48 46 20 FT wind......S 3G6 SE 3G6 SE 3G6 NE 2G3 Mix hgt (ft)....2100 2100 7300 6600 Transport wind..S 9 S 9 E 6 NE 8 Haines index....2 2 3 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..12 12 40 41 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR FAIR FAIR .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY... Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds. .MONDAY... Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Light winds. .TUESDAY... Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Light winds. $$ Forecaster...ROGERS Requested by...Silver City Interagency Dispatch Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2416319.4/EPZ .DELDT 06/20/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov