Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
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853 FXUS62 KFFC 110733 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 333 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024 ...Morning Area Forecast Discussion... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Wednesday) Issued at 331 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024 Old frontal boundary is currently across far south GA/north FL. This boundary will remain nearly stationary, but could wave just a little northward tomorrow afternoon. The forecast will remain dry today, but some isolated pops are possible in the far south CWA tomorrow...nearest to the old boundary. Temps will remain seasonable. Dewpoints will be very pleasant today and average in the lower to middle 50s. Low level moisture will begin to increase slightly tomorrow and dewpoints will creep upwards into upper 50s to middle 60s. NListemaa && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through Monday) Issued at 331 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024 Not much change from previous discussion. Models continue to have trouble locking in on the evolution of the Gulf low, though models continue to develop the low anyways. Moisture within the low will be high (PWATs 2.5+"). The question is where the low will go. As of now, models have shifted eastward with a stronger Bermuda high in the Atlantic. This drives the moisture more into the Mississippi Delta region, however this is likely to change. PWATs over GA also look to be difficult to forecast. This is due to the easterly flow from the Bermuda high, which has the potential to keep PWATs as low as 1". Given the large spread in potential PWATs, will maintain at least some PoPs across the southern CWA for much of the extended outlook and particularly in the afternoon. Further discussion on thunderstorms can be seen in previous AFDs, but in short expect showers and thunderstorms possible everyday in the southern CWA and this possibly spreading to include North GA in later forecast iterations. Temperatures will be HOT. Expect the hottest conditions so far this year with a general increase in highs through Saturday before we cool off a little bit. Highs by the weekend will be in the mid to upper 90s across the entire CWA. Dewpoints in the upper 60s and lower 70s will mean that heat could be a threat, particularly to the most vulnerable populations (elderly, pets, etc.). SM && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1237 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024 VFR through the period. Some passing cirrus. A wind shift to the east side is expected tomorrow night. //ATL Confidence...06Z Update... High confidence all elements. NListemaa && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 87 63 88 66 / 0 0 0 0 Atlanta 87 65 89 70 / 0 0 10 0 Blairsville 80 58 82 61 / 0 0 0 0 Cartersville 85 58 89 65 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 91 66 93 72 / 0 0 10 10 Gainesville 84 63 86 67 / 0 0 0 0 Macon 91 66 92 70 / 0 0 10 10 Rome 86 60 89 65 / 0 0 0 0 Peachtree City 88 63 90 68 / 0 0 0 0 Vidalia 91 70 91 72 / 0 0 20 10 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...NListemaa LONG TERM....SM AVIATION...NListemaa