238
FXUS65 KFGZ 180351
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
850 PM MST Tue Sep 17 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Slightly below normal temperatures and breezy conditions
continue for the rest of this week. Only a slight chance of showers
for late Friday and Saturday over northern Arizona, but mostly dry
conditions otherwise. A benign and warmer weather pattern develops
for next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A breezy and dry pattern continues, as another low
drops into position off the California coast. Expect daily winds in
the 15 to 25 mph range, followed by crisp and cool nights as the
winds decrease. This evening, our southwest winds are still a bit
elevated, too early to adjust low temperatures, but we may be a bit
on the aggressive side, we`ll see.

As the upper low transitions across Arizona later this week and into
the weekend, a few light showers may develop. Additionally, high
temperatures will dip even further below normal, but nothing
outrageous.

Ridging returns next week, for a early fall warm-up.

With regard to the overnight temperatures, we will wait and see if
the winds start to collapse this evening, But for now, no updates
are planned.

&&

.AVIATION...Wednesday 18/00Z through Thursday 19/00Z...VFR
conditions will persist through the TAF period. Breezy SW winds
gusting 20-30 kts will continue through 03Z, before mostly light
and variable winds return overnight. Expect S-SW winds 10-20 kts
after 18Z.

OUTLOOK...Thursday 19/00Z through Saturday 21/00Z...VFR conditions
will continue through the outlook period. Expect overnight winds
to be light and variable, with afternoon winds out of the S-SW
15-25 kts gusting near 30kts.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Wednesday and Thursday...Dry and seasonably cool
weather, with breezy afternoons. Daytime winds will be from the
southwest at 15 to 20 mph, with gusts up to 30 mph. Lighter winds
will develop overnight.

Friday through Sunday...Seasonably cool Friday, with some warming by
Sunday. Breezy southwest winds continue Friday, becoming lighter and
northerly over the weekend. Aside from a slight chance of showers
over the northern zones Friday and Saturday, conditions will be
mostly dry.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Peterson
AVIATION...Konieczny
FIRE WEATHER...Peterson

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff