Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
198 FNUS75 KFGZ 260156 FWSFGZ Spot Forecast for Blue Bell Fire...Forest Service National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 656 PM MST Tue Jun 25 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MST on June 26. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ .DISCUSSION...Mostly light showers will continue through the rest of evening and overnight hours. Another round of showers/thunderstorms is possible tomorrow afternoon, but generally less than a 20% chance. Even if storms do not develop over the Blue Bell Fire area, gusty/erratic outflow winds could push through from other areas. Outside of storm-driven winds, expect mostly southwest winds 5-15 mph. Drier conditions will slowly return through the end of the week, with minor chances of showers and thunderstorms on Thursday. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms through the day. Chance of pcpn......10-20 percent. Max temperature.....95-100 degrees. Min humidity........25-30 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the southwest by 11 AM MST near 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. LAL.................2. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Max Vent Rate.......Very good. Clearing Index......809. Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 0 to 5 knots shifting to the west late in the afternoon. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of pcpn......10-15 percent. Min temperature.....70-75 degrees. Max humidity........60-65 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light and variable overnight. LAL.................1. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Min Vent Rate.......Poor. Clearing Index......5. Mixing height.......200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots decreasing to around 0 knots after 3 am. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. Max temperature.....95-100 degrees. Min humidity........25-30 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph gusting up to 25 mph in the afternoon. LAL.................1. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Max Vent Rate.......Very good. Clearing Index......999. Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots increasing to around 15 knots late in the afternoon. $$ Forecaster...KONIECZNY Requested by...Forest Service Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2416659.1/FGZ .DELDT 06/25/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL mark.timber@usda.gov