774
FXUS64 KFWD 221958
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
258 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

...New Long Term...

.SHORT TERM... /Issued 1228 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024/
/Rest of the Afternoon through Sunday/

The upper level ridge will continue building west, becoming
centered over North & Central TX this weekend and promoting hot
and rain-free conditions. Afternoon highs will be a few degrees
warmer than yesterday, climbing into the mid 90s areawide with
scattered daytime cumulus and plenty of sunshine. Overnight lows
in the mid/upper 70s are expected again tonight. Unsurprisingly,
the warming trend will continue Sunday with highs topping out in
the mid 90s for Central TX and upper 90s for North Texas. Although
a few locations are expected to break the century mark tomorrow,
the first "official" 100 degree days of the season will likely
have to wait, with a forecast of 99 and 96 for DFW and Waco
respectively.

Otherwise, south winds 5-10 mph are expected with ample moisture
resulting in heat index values a few degrees higher than the
actual temperature.

Gordon

&&

.LONG TERM... /NEW/
/Sunday Night through the End of the Week/

The main headline for the extended period features the return of
summer heat across North and Central Texas. An upper level ridge
will remain in place through the start of next week. This will
allow afternoon highs to gradually creep into the triple digits,
with the frequency of triple digit readings increasing as we move
through the end of the week. Heat indices will meet and even
exceed 105 degrees at times, so heat products will likely be
needed as we close out the month of June. Make sure to keep an eye
on yourself and others, especially for those more vulnerable to
heat illnesses.

Most of the area will remain dry through the period, with a few
exceptions across portions of North and East Texas on Wednesday
and perhaps into Thursday. This will be directly related to the
upper level ridge, which will slowly drift westward. As the ridge
moves west, we will be placed in northerly flow around the
periphery of the high. This may allow a weak front and surface
boundaries to push south into the region. Because of this minor
pattern change, low rain chances will remain in the forecast
through the middle of the upcoming week. This low potential for
isolated thunderstorms will do very little to stop the heat
though, so continue to stay cool and hydrated as we settle in for
the summer heat ahead.

Reeves

&&

.AVIATION... /Issued 1228 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024/
/18Z TAFs/

No aviation concerns with VFR continuing through the period.
Expect scattered daytime cumulus and south winds near 10 kts.

Gordon

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    79  99  80  99  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
Waco                75  96  76  97  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               75  98  76  97  78 /   0   0   0   5   0
Denton              75 100  76 100  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
McKinney            76  98  77  99  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              78 100  79 100  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             75  97  75  97  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           76  97  78  98  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
Temple              72  96  75  97  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       74  98  75  99  79 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$