390
FXUS63 KICT 161125
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
625 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Elevated showers and storms this morning

- Heat indices up to 104 today

- Multiple chances for showers and storms Tuesday through
  Thursday

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 302 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Warm moist advection and an exiting LLJ continues to support a
few showers and storms this morning, with the best coverage
continuing mainly to the northeast. Expect activity to dwindle
within a couple hours of sunrise. Today longwave troughing will
begin to shape up across the western CONUS while ridging
becomes more amplified across the eastern CONUS resulting in
southerly to southwesterly flow overhead for the next few days.
Heat indices will approach the low 100s across portions of
central and south central KS with quiet conditions prevailing
across the area.

Lee troughing will tighten up the pressure gradient across the state
and bring gusty southerly winds to the area thru mid week. Wind
headlines may need to be considered for the tomorrow afternoon
through Tuesday period, especially across central KS.
Otherwise, expect temps in the 90s continuing area wide. By late
Tuesday to Wednesday a compact shortwave will move thru the
main longwave trough and push a cold front through the region
increasing chances of showers and storms. Intermittent shower
and storm chances will continue across the area through
Thursday, with slightly cooler temperatures in the upper 80s to
near 90 expected for the second half of the week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 622 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Aviation concern will be some morning storms over eastern KS.

Scattered storms have been ongoing across east-central KS for
the last several hours and the only site that could be impacted
this morning is KCNU. After storms finally push east, VFR
conditions are anticipated for the remainder of the day. South
winds will be stronger than they have been the last several
days, with gusts in the 30-40mph common at all sites with the
exception of KCNU.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KMB
AVIATION...RBL