Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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835
FNUS52 KILM 101243
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
843 AM EDT Mon Jun 10 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Weather will remain unsettled today as a front remains draped
near or just south of the area. Best chance of showers and
thunderstorms should be across South Carolina and up the coast
into SE North Carolina. High pressure will build in Tuesday
through Friday with limited thunderstorm activity. Another front
may affect the area by the weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.

NCZ105>110-110445-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
843 AM EDT Mon Jun 10 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     60           30           20
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            2            2
Max/Min Temp          83           62           87
Min/Max RH (%)        58           100          41
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      E  5
Precip Amount         0.12         0.08         0.01
Precip Duration       3            2            1
Precip Begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  72/0700      2000         71/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Haines Index          3            4            4
DSI                   2                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       3500                      7300
Transport Wind (mph)  W 12                      NW  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    42000                     65700
ADI Early             28 Fair      31 Fair      40 Fair
ADI Late              37 Fair      4 Very Poor  72 Good
Max LVORI Early       6            6            9
Max LVORI Late        3            8            1
Min VSBY Early        6 Rain       6 Rain       7
Min VSBY Late         6 Rain       6 Rain       7
Turner Stability      B            E            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-110445-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
843 AM EDT Mon Jun 10 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     50           20           0
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      None
LAL                   3            2            2
Max/Min Temp          83           62           87
Min/Max RH (%)        47           100          38
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      N  4
Precip Amount         0.07         0.01         0.00
Precip Duration       2            1
Precip Begin          7 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   4 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  72/0900      2000         72/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Haines Index          3            5            4
DSI                   2                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       4900                      7300
Transport Wind (mph)  W  9                      NW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    44100                     73000
ADI Early             24 Fair      46 Gen Good  39 Fair
ADI Late              48 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  85 Good
Max LVORI Early       6            5            9
Max LVORI Late        3            9            1
Min VSBY Early        6 Rain       7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            F            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 44 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
47 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
46 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-110445-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
843 AM EDT Mon Jun 10 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     50           60           20
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            2
Max/Min Temp          83           64           87
Min/Max RH (%)        62           100          44
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      E  5
Precip Amount         0.14         0.24         0.01
Precip Duration       2            3            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  73/0800      2000         69/0800
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Haines Index          3            4            4
DSI                   2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)       3100                      7200
Transport Wind (mph)  W  9                      NW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    27900                     72000
ADI Early             35 Fair      27 Fair      42 Gen Good
ADI Late              36 Fair      4 Very Poor  76 Good
Max LVORI Early       6            6            9
Max LVORI Late        3            9            1
Min VSBY Early        6 Rain       6 Rain       7
Min VSBY Late         6 Rain       6 Rain       7
Turner Stability      B            E            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-110445-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
843 AM EDT Mon Jun 10 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     50           30           0
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   3            3            1
Max/Min Temp          83           62           87
Min/Max RH (%)        52           100          37
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      N  4
Precip Amount         0.14         0.07         0.00
Precip Duration       2            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  71/0800      2000         68/0800
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Haines Index          3            4            4
DSI                   2                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       4100                      7800
Transport Wind (mph)  W  9                      NW  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    36900                     70200
ADI Early             29 Fair      32 Fair      43 Gen Good
ADI Late              40 Fair      3 Very Poor  82 Good
Max LVORI Early       6            6            9
Max LVORI Late        3            9            1
Min VSBY Early        5 Rain       6 Rain       7
Min VSBY Late         6 Rain       6 Rain       7
Turner Stability      B            F            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
45 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
45 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
48 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

Forecaster...LEW