Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
487 FXUS65 KLKN 111923 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 1223 PM PDT Tue Jun 11 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Above average temperatures in the 90s continue over through mid-week, with near record temperatures in spots this afternoon. Dry but breezy conditions look to continue the next several days, with temperatures cooling back down by next weekend. && .SHORT TERM...This afternoon through Wednesday night. Dry and fair weather condtions are currently being observed across the state and is expected to continue with zonal flow across the area. Winds will be light and variable for the most part, except for occasional gusts this afternoon. Highs this afternoon are forecasted to be in the upper 80s to mid 90s with lows in the 50s. Wednesday, more of the same can be expected, with mostly sunny skies, and above average temperatures in the upper 80s to mid 90s with lows in the 50s. Winds Wednesday afternoon will be breezy, with a west to southwest wind 15-25 mph gusting as high as 30 mph, with the strongest winds across central Nevada. .LONG TERM...Thursday through next Tuesday. Thursday, there may be some isolated showers across the area during the afternoon as a closed low looks to get hung up over the Sierras. Some moisture will spill over into the Silver State, however with how dry the surrounding environment is, the chances of these showers are < 15% so no weather is mentioned in the grids currently. The most likely situation is that these conditions will lead to cumulus buildups, possible virga and breezy winds. Highs will remain above average with forecasted highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s, and lows in the 50s. Friday through Tuesday, zonal flow will gradually bring temperatures back towards normal, with highs in the upper 70s Sunday and beyond. Lows are forecasted in the 50s through Friday night, and in the 40s each night after. Winds in the afternoon will continue to be breezy, with occasional strong gusts. && .AVIATION...VFR conditions are expected at all terminals over the next 24 hours. Anytime after 15Z Wednesday southwest winds will strengthen over KELY and KTPH, with gusts 25-30 KTS, While westerly winds gusting to 20kts are possible at KEKO. KWMC and KBAM during the afternoon Wednesday. && .HYDROLOGY...Temperatures will continue to reside warmer than average thru Thursday before cooling several degrees Friday and the weekend. This will allow remaining high mountain snow-pack to continue to melt at a quicker rate. Dry and mostly sunny weather is expected, with little threat of showers or thunderstorms bringing a rain on snow event this week as well. The Humboldt River near Battle Mountain will continue to reside in action stage for the next several days. Wildhorse Reservoir will continue to reside in action stage for the next several days. Lamoille Creek will continue to reside in action stage for the next several days. Diurnal fluctuations in height and discharge will also continue with the creek peaking during the evening hours. The creek may briefly enter minor flood stage while at peak evening flow. The Jarbidge River receded below action stage However, flows remain swift and caution should be exercised if recreating near the river. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ 91/91/91