397
FXUS64 KLZK 101703 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1203 PM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 351 AM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024

Latest observational data show that the sfc CDFNT was situated just
to the south of AR early this mrng. Cooler and drier air was sloly
advecting into the state fm the north. Predawn temps were in the 50s
to arnd 60 in the north, with 60s and 70s elsewhere. Included patchy
dense fog for areas near the larger lakes/valleys over north AR this
mrng where clouds have cleared out.

Widely sctd convection was noted acrs central and southwest AR early
this mrng, seemingly assocd with the 850 mb bndry. Kept low PoPs
(20%) in the fcst this mrng for the southern half of the FA, with a
dcrsg trend as the bndry conts working to the south. Cloud cover wl
be slower to decrease fm the north as the day progresses.

Otherwise, benign wx conds are on tap for the area thru Tue as NW
flow aloft returns and a sfc ridge settles into the Mid-South. A
noticeably drier airmass wl also return, with temperatures trending
closer to seasonal norms. Highs today and Tue will range fm the upper
70s to the lower 80s, with nighttime lows in the mid 50s to the lower
60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 351 AM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024

The long term fcst wl be headlined by dry, hot, and relatively
settled condns. Cooler temps on Wed wl be on their way out as the
post-frntl airmass fm the short term begins to modify. Broad sfc
high pressure wl extend across much of Appalachia, w/ the FA
residing on the Wrn periphery of greater sfc subsidence. Upper lvl
ridging is expected to be in place over the Cont Divide to the Cntrl
Plains as well, which should keep chcs for rainfall limited around
the FA.

Srly sfc flow wl extend acrs much of the Srn Plains, and wl drive
incrsg daily high temps, w/ area readings trending towards above-
normal thru much of the long term, along with incrsg humidity
levels.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1202 PM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024

VFR conditions expected through the period with winds variable in
direction at less than 7-10 kts. Some localized FG may develop
prior to daybreak Tuesday along area rivers/lakes, but should
largely be away from terminals.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     57  82  60  86 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         62  86  61  88 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       55  82  60  86 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    62  86  62  89 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  62  85  63  88 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     62  86  62  87 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      60  85  61  89 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  55  81  60  86 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        59  82  60  86 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     62  84  62  86 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   61  85  63  88 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         59  83  60  86 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      62  83  62  86 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44
LONG TERM....72
AVIATION...67