785
FXUS64 KLZK 121706
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1206 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday Night)
Issued at 306 AM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

Sfc high pressure remained in control acrs the Natural State early
this mrng. A veil of high lvl clouds were also noted, assocd with an
upper lvl trof moving eastward acrs north TX. Predawn temps were
mainly in the 60s.

The aforementioned upper trof wl cont to work eastward today, with
high lvl clouds sloly decreasing. Thereafter, upper heights wl be
incrsg in the coming days, along with daytime high temps. With the
sfc ridge persisting ovr the FA, gulf moisture return wl be shunted
to our west, keeping assocd aftn heat index values below critical
thresholds the next 2 days.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 306 AM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

The period will begin with high pressure building over the region
from the central/southern Plains. Under the ridge, mostly dry
conditions are expected, and hot temperatures are in the forecast
Friday through the weekend.

While well above normal temperatures will be noted, heat index
values will generally stay below dangerous levels. Dewpoints will be
in the 60s Friday/Saturday, with heat index values struggling to
reach triple digits in places by Saturday. Moisture levels will edge
higher on Sunday, and dewpoints may approach 70 degrees in parts of
central/southern/eastern Arkansas. In these areas, afternoon heat
indices should peak from 100 to 105 degrees.

Early next week, the ridge will wobble to the east. There is some
indication that tropical moisture will head this way from the Gulf
Coast. Temperatures will not be as hot Monday/Tuesday, and there
will be isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms during the
afternoon/evening.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1205 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

VFR conditions, and a light and variable will prevail through the
valid TAF period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     86  62  91  67 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         87  60  92  64 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       85  63  91  67 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    88  63  92  66 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  88  65  92  69 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     87  61  91  67 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      87  62  92  65 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  86  63  90  67 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        87  63  91  67 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     86  62  90  66 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   88  64  92  68 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         86  61  90  66 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      84  63  89  67 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....46
AVIATION...55