Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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473 ACUS11 KWNS 262003 SWOMCD SPC MCD 262002 CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-262200- Mesoscale Discussion 1429 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0302 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Areas affected...much of eastern Pennsylvania into New Jersey and southeast New York Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 262002Z - 262200Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...At least isolated severe gusts or marginal hail may occur this afternoon, with a greater potential for more widespread thunderstorms this evening. DISCUSSION...The air mass continues to destabilize south of an east-west oriented boundary from the PA/NY border eastward into southern New England. Visible satellite shows increase CU fields, with a few thunderstorms now extending from south-central PA into northern VA. As the main upper wave continues east, storms over northern PA along the front may organize further with damaging winds over much of northern PA possible. Isolated activity over southern PA has outflow associated with it currently, and this may support further development across the remainder of southeast PA, and eventually into NJ and southern NY. As such, the area is being monitored for further intensification or increase in coverage of the existing activity, and another watch may be considered over the next few hours south and/or east of WW 464. ..Jewell/Hart.. 06/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...LWX... LAT...LON 41417357 40707373 40187391 39797430 39357547 39107644 39237695 39457753 39777792 40337813 40657816 40837792 41337580 41717426 41677375 41417357