Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
110 FNUS72 KMLB 250949 FWSMLB Spot Forecast for C-266 Maple Grove...USFS National Weather Service Melbourne FL 549 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on June 25. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... A typical summertime pattern continues with high coverage of showers and storms. Scattered showers and lightning storms will develop ahead of and along the east coast sea breeze. Coverage further increases into the late afternoon and evening as the east and west coast sea breezes collide in vicinity of the burn site. Light winds out of the west to southwest will be variable at times. Winds are forecast to remain light behind the sea breeze (10 mph or less). Poor smoke dispersion is expected. High temperatures will warm into the mid 90s. Persistent muggy conditions will produce heat index values up to 106 degrees, and a Moderate Heat Risk exists today. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. LAL.................No Tstms until 1200, then 1-8 strikes until 1300, then 9-15 strikes. Max temperature.....Around 94. Min humidity........58 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL increasing to 4700 ft AGL late in the morning, then increasing to 5100 ft AGL late in the afternoon decreasing to 2700 ft AGL late in the afternoon. Transport winds.....West 3 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast around 3 mph early in the afternoon, then shifting to the southwest 3 to 5 mph late in the afternoon shifting to the northwest around 7 mph late in the afternoon. Dispersion index....3 increasing to 24. LVORI...............10 decreasing to 2. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........51 38 35 24 26 26 35 42 58 71 Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 LAL.............1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 Temp............77 81 85 88 90 91 92 92 91 92 RH..............97 85 75 68 63 60 58 58 60 58 20 FT wind dir..SW W W W SW SW S S SW NW 20 FT wind spd..1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 20 FT wind gust.5 5 6 7 7 8 9 9 10 10 Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.6 2.8 4.0 4.7 5.1 4.7 4.3 3.9 2.7 Transp wind dir.W W W W W W SE SW W NW Transp wind spd.5 6 6 5 3 3 3 3 5 7 Dispersion idx..4 12 21 23 22 22 23 24 25 25 LVORI...........8 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly to partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms early in the evening. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the evening. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2100, then 1-8 strikes until 2300, then No Tstms. Min temperature.....Around 73. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL late in the evening. Transport winds.....South around 8 mph shifting to the north early in the evening, then shifting to the northwest around 6 mph early in the evening shifting to the southwest 6 to 7 mph in the late evening and overnight shifting to the west around 6 mph. Dispersion index....24 decreasing to 3. LVORI...............3 increasing to 9. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........68 61 52 52 26 25 Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE S CHC Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).70 40 20 10 0 0 LAL.............3 3 2 1 1 1 Temp............89 84 78 77 76 74 RH..............64 74 91 93 94 100 20 ft wind......SE 3 SW 2 S 1 SW 1 SW 1 SW 1 20 ft wind gust.10 8 6 5 5 3 Mix hgt (ft)....2400 700 800 400 400 400 Transport wind..S 8 NW 6 S 7 SW 7 SW 6 W 6 Dispersion idx..24 3 3 3 2 3 LVORI...........2 3 6 6 7 8 .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the morning. Showers likely late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. LAL.................No Tstms until 0800, then 9-15 strikes. Max temperature.....Around 93. Min humidity........60 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL increasing to 3900 ft AGL late in the morning, then increasing to 5000 ft AGL early in the afternoon decreasing to 2900 ft AGL late in the afternoon. Transport winds.....West 5 to 13 mph. Dispersion index....4 increasing to 26 late in the morning increasing to increasing to 51 decreasing to 38 late in the afternoon. LVORI...............10 decreasing to 1. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........27 46 54 53 Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE Chc of pcpn (%).0 50 50 70 LAL.............1 3 3 3 Temp............74 79 87 90 RH..............100 92 72 64 20 FT wind......W 1G3 W 1G5 W 3G9 W 5G10 Mix hgt (ft)....400 1500 3900 4000 Transport wind..W 6 W 6 W 7 W 9 Dispersion idx..3 12 38 51 LVORI...........9 5 3 1 $$ Forecaster...Law Requested by...Jessica Vincent Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2416609.1/MLB .DELDT 06/25/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL jessica.e.vincent@usda.gov