653
FNUS72 KMLB 081923
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Soggy Bottom rd...usfws
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
323 PM EDT Sat Jun 8 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 EDT on June 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...The east coast sea breeze remains east of the burn
area as of mid-afternoon, but should be passing across the burn site
in the next couple of hours. A light westerly component of wind is
present ahead of the sea breeze. East-southeast winds around 10 mph
with a few higher gusts will accompany the sea breeze. Widely scattered
showers and isolated lightning storms are forecast late afternoon
through mid-evening. Primary storm threats include occasional lightning
strikes, heavy downpours, and gusty and erratic winds. Mostly dry overnight
and humid.

Similar set-up for Sunday. Continued hot and humid with highs in the mid
90s and heat indices 100 to 106F.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 97.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light westerly winds 5 to 10 mph ahead of the
                    approaching east coast sea breeze. Southeast winds
                    8 to 10 mph will accompany the sea breeze. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL decreasing to 2800 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 10 mph becoming south.
Dispersion index....62 decreasing to 36 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........32  34
Weather cov.....CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30  40
LAL.............2   3
Temp............95  95
RH..............45  45
20 FT wind dir..W   SE
20 FT wind spd..8   9
20 FT wind gust.12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...6.0 2.8
Transp wind dir.SW  S
Transp wind spd.9   10
Dispersion idx..62  36
LVORI...........1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2200, then 1-8 strikes until
                    2400, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast to south winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 14 mph shifting to the southwest 7
                    to 12 mph overnight.
Dispersion index....34 decreasing to around 4.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........30     34     42     36     24     24
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40     30     20     10     0      0
LAL.............3      3      2      1      1      1
Temp............91     87     82     80     79     76
RH..............54     65     79     85     88     94
20 ft wind......SE 9   S 8    S 6    S 5    SW 3   SW 3
20 ft wind gust.13     15     13     12     10     9
Mix hgt (ft)....1900   1000   600    400    400    400
Transport wind..SE 14  S 13   SW 9   SW 10  SW 9   W 8
Dispersion idx..34     8      6      5      4      4
LVORI...........1      3      4      5      6      6

$$
Forecaster...Sedlock
Requested by...Greg Suszek
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415828.0/MLB
.DELDT 06/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL greg_suszek@fws.gov