Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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787
FNUS74 KMOB 101016
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Chick Cpt 418...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
516 AM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on June 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A weak cold front will move over and south of the burn site
this morning. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected
today with the front`s passage. A drier and somewhat cooler airmass
will move over the area for Tuesday. Daytime relative humidity values
will drop into the 32 to 36 percent range for Tuesday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...396-1676 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Northwest 3 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....13 increasing to 63.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........32  42  52  51  50  49  51  52  54  51
Weather cov.....                    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  40  40  40  40  40
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............78  81  85  87  90  90  91  91  91  90
RH..............79  77  70  65  58  56  54  54  54  56
20 FT wind dir..W   WNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..3   3   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.5   7   8   9   10  12  12  12  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.7 2.3 3.2 4.6 5.5 5.5 5.0 4.3 4.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.3
Transp wind dir.NW  N   NNW NNW NW  NNW NNW NNW NNW N
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   8   9   10  10  10  12  12
Trans wind dir..NW  N   NNW NNW NW  NNW NNW NNW NNW N
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   5   5
Dispersion idx..13  17  25  36  52  62  62  61  58  58
LVORI...........4   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................3 until 1900, then 2 until 2200, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1311 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.North 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....58 decreasing to 5.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........47  43  34  26  17  28  39  50  51  52  54  41
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).40  20  20  20  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............86  84  79  77  75  73  72  71  68  67  67  66
RH..............61  63  72  74  76  76  76  73  78  78  78  78
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NNE NNE NNE NNE
20 FT wind spd..7   6   5   3   2   2   2   3   3   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.10  9   8   6   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...4.3 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....1.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   NNE N   NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE
Transp wind spd.14  10  10  10  9   9   9   9   10  12  10  10
Trans wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   NNE N   NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE
Trans spd (m/s).6   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   4   4
Dispersion idx..58  16  5   4   4   4   4   5   5   6   6   5
LVORI...........1   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 6 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1829 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.North 4 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 56.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  15  17  19  20  21  21  22  19  16  14  15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............65  66  70  74  78  81  84  86  88  89  89  88
RH..............81  78  68  62  54  49  43  39  35  34  34  36
20 FT wind dir..NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.8   8   9   9   10  12  12  13  13  12  12  9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 1.2 1.7 2.7 3.7 4.5 5.3 5.5 5.8 6.0 6.0
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8
Transp wind dir.NNE NNE NE  NE  NE  NNE N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.12  10  10  9   8   8   8   8   8   9   9   8
Trans wind dir..NNE NNE NE  NE  NE  NNE N   N   N   N   N   N
Trans spd (m/s).5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..4   9   15  21  30  39  43  48  52  55  55  55
LVORI...........5   4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...16
Requested by...Ryan Barnett
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415874.0/MOB
.DELDT 06/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ryan.barnett@usda.gov