817
FXUS64 KOUN 140730
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
230 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 229 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

The heat wave intensifies today as a mid-summer-style upper ridge
prevails over Oklahoma and northern Texas This will be associated
with afternoon temperatures 6 to 12 degrees F. above late-Spring
normals. By early Saturday morning, a short-wave trough is expected
to have moved into eastern Colorado and the Texas panhandle. This
will again bring a chance for storms to northwestern Oklahoma with
some gusty winds.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 229 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

The short-wave trough is expected to translate slowly
through the central and southern plains on Saturday and early
Sunday. The upper ridge will be suppressed a bit south, extending
from the Big Bend area into the Tennessee valley. In the
homogeneously humid air mass, the trough will bring a chance for
thunderstorms to at least northern Oklahoma Saturday and Sunday. By
the beginning of the week, the upper ridge builds northward again as
a large upper low keeps a general trough over the Great Basin and
southwesterly flow to the north of Oklahoma. This will maintain the
late-Spring heat wave into mid-week with low thunderstorm chances.
By mid-week a front may move into Oklahoma from the north to bring a
brief relief to the heat and a better chance for showers and storms.
This boundary, even as it weakens, may continue the better chance
for showers/storms into Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1119 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

VFR conditions are expected at all sites through the TAF period.
Convection along northern Oklahoma is expected to dissipate over
the next few hours, potentially affecting KPNC early in the
period. An outflow boundary will keep winds out of the north for
the next few hours, but will rebound back to the south during the
overnight hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  95  70  93  74 /   0   0   0  10
Hobart OK         98  71  95  73 /   0   0   0  10
Wichita Falls TX  95  70  94  75 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           98  70  95  70 /   0  10  20  20
Ponca City OK     95  70  95  74 /  10   0   0  10
Durant OK         94  69  94  73 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...09
LONG TERM....09
AVIATION...13