599
FXUS63 KPAH 160637
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
137 AM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Last gasp showers/storms will linger across southeast Missouri
  today, with perhaps up to an additional quarter of an inch of
  rainfall possible in the Ozarks.

- Warm and dry conditions are expected for the rest of the week
  into next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 135 AM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

One more day of lingering pops for southeast Missouri can be
expected as the drier air needs about another 24 hours to advect
westward thru the remainder of the FA. Up to an additional 1/4"
or so of rainfall is possible across the Ozarks.

High pressure increasingly asserts its influence upon our
sensible weather after today, returning dry conditions with dew
points in the 50s to lower 60s for the duration of the
forecast. That`ll make the above normal temperatures in the
upper 80s more bearable at least, with night-time lows dropping
to around 60.

While next pcpn chances do appear by day 7 in the blend, it`s a
limited chance at this point and contingent upon the high being
pinched off enough by approaching areas of low pressure that
remain centered some considerable distance away. As a result,
won`t argue its slight chance mention, but also won`t be shocked
to eventually see the models waffle on that by a day or two
either.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 135 AM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

We`ll have to watch out for pre dawn fog potentially offering
vsby restrictions, particulary at KCGI. Otherwise, mid-upper
level VFR bases are forecast across the terminals today as dry
advection wins out despite some lingering shower/storm chance
just south and west of KCGI. Early day CIGS should ultimately
scatter and clear over the back half of the forecast as high
pressure increasingly asserts its grip upon our sensible weather
forecast.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$