607
FXUS63 KPAH 161851
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
151 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Triple digit (or close to it) heat index thru tomorrow.

- Daily storm chances thru Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 150 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Thunderstorms continue erupting in the heat of the day
over/near the Bootheel. Anticipate this pulse storm chance
lingering into early evening, then diminishing with loss of
fuel. It`s mainly a heavy rain/lightning hazard, but stronger
cores might produce gusty winds/small hail.

A triple digit heat index, or close to it, is possible again
tmrw. Its chance is maybe not as good as today, with a little
more cloud coverage with slightly higher pops, but upper 90s
HI`s will be achieved nonetheless.

Daily (mainly diurnal) pops linger thru Tuesday on the return
feed side of the high, with plenty of heat/moisture to work
with. Drier air works the column over the back half of the
week, so when we lose pops and start to warm up again, humidity
is not as extreme and HI`s remain in the 90s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 135 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Active convection is nearest KCGI/KPAH terminals, and there is
mid cloud blow-off from it. An isolated chance exists until loss
of fuel with nightfall. SCT-BKN 5-7K FT AGL diurnal bases will
follow a similar trend. Clearing skies/light winds under high
pressure`s dominant influence tonight may allow for some patchy
fog, particularly where rain falls this afternoon, but as of
this writing, that`s not been at terminals yet. Tmrw will be
similar to today with a slightly higher afternoon storm chance.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...Air Quality Alert until midnight CDT /1 AM EDT/ tonight for
     INZ081-082-085>088.
KY...None.

&&

$$