352
FXUS64 KSJT 050535
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1235 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 156 PM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024

New daily record of 109 reached at 2 PM at the San Angelo
airport, and there are 2 to 3 hours of heating left. All time
record high is 114 degrees set in 2023. Previous to 2023, the all
time record was 111, and that might be possible. Dry line
extended from east of a Sonora to San Angelo to Sweetwater line,
with temperatures in the 104 to 109 range to the west of it.

Some relief is in store Wednesday as a cold front moves into the
Big Country late tonight and through the rest of West Central
Texas Wednesday morning. But it will still be warm to hot, with
highs in the lower to mid 90s in the Big Country, and upper 90s to
101 from the Concho Valley south to I-10. There is an outside
chance of a thunderstorm late afternoon along the front in Kimble
county, but otherwise dry conditions are expected to prevail.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 138 PM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024

Thursday into the weekend, and upper level ridge will sit over
west central Texas, keeping our temperatures 10 to 15 degrees
above normal for afternoon highs, and suppressing rain chances
across the area. Highs will range from the mid 90s to around 105
degrees at times.

By Sunday night, a substantial trough will begin to move into the
western U. S. coast. This trough will help to break down the
ridge over the southwestern U. S. while at the same time drawing
an offshore low off the coast of the Baja Peninsula northward. The
trough and low will eventually merge over the southwestern U. S.
states by Monday morning. Another trough over northern plains is
expected to send a cold front into our area in the Monday/Tuesday
timeframe. The cold front combined with energy from the
southwestern U. S. low moving through should provide a chance for
precipitation and cooler temperatures for west central Texas early
next week from Sunday night into Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1210 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024

There`s two areas of low clouds near our area tonight. One is to
our southeast and could potentially move into KBBD and KJCT. The
other is to our northeast and is associated with a line of storms
pushing south. An outflow boundary from these storms will move
through our area today, turning winds to the north and potentially
bringing low end VFR or MVFR ceilings to KABI this morning. Winds
behind the boundary could be gusty at times this afternoon. We
could see isolated storms near KSOA and KJCT this evening, however
confidence is still low at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     94  70  99  73 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  99  71 103  73 /   0   0  10   0
Junction   101  72 101  72 /  10  10  10   0
Brownwood   92  69  95  70 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  94  71 100  74 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       99  72 100  73 /  10   0  10   0
Brady       95  70  95  70 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...AP