Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
827 FNUS72 KTAE 261957 FWSTAE Spot Forecast for Hurricane Helene...US&R National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 357 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 EDT on September 26. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. ***HELENE TO MAKE LANDFALL AS A MAJOR HURRICANE ALONG THE BIG BEND COAST THIS EVENING.*** ***A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR WAKULLA COUNTY... ***A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL WAKULLA COUNTY... .DISCUSSION... Major Hurricane Helene will make landfall somewhere along the FL Big Bend this evening. This is an unprecedented event, especially for those under the hurricane warning. Impacts will be significant and life threatening in the FL Big Bend, especially with respect to wind and surge. In addition to that, considerable to catastrophic flash flooding is possible due to recent wet rains and the size of Major Hurricane Helene. The next forecast package to be release in regards to Helene is 5PM ET. Below are the details for the peak winds with Helene; however, there is the potential we could experience higher winds of greater than 110 mph. If you have any questions please call the office at 850-942-8833 ext 9. - Peak Wind Forecast: 60-80 mph with gusts to 100 mph - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: until early Friday morning - Window for Hurricane force winds: early this evening until early Friday morning - Storm Surge Forecast: Life-threatening and historic storm surge possible - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 16-20 feet above ground somewhere within surge prone areas - Window of concern: through Friday morning - Flooding Rain Forecast: Flood Watch is in effect - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally higher amounts - Tornado Forecast: Tornado Watch is in effect - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain and slight chance of thunderstorms. Max temperature.....Around 82. Min humidity........85 percent. Surface winds (mph).East winds 15 to 21 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph increasing to 36 mph late in the afternoon. TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........88 86 86 87 86 86 Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF Weather type....RN RN RN RN RN RN Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Temp............79 82 82 81 81 81 RH..............91 88 88 91 91 88 Surface wnd dir.E E E E E E Surface wnd spd.15 16 16 18 21 20 Surface wnd gst.26 28 29 32 35 36 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms through the night. Rain likely overnight. Min temperature.....Around 71. Max humidity........91 percent. Surface winds (mph).Windy. Northeast winds 22 to 31 mph with gusts to around 60 mph increasing to around 46 mph with gusts to around 77 mph late in the evening, then shifting to the west around 44 mph with gusts to around 77 mph overnight becoming southwest 21 to 31 mph with gusts to around 60 mph overnight decreasing to around 18 mph with gusts to around 32 mph. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........80 89 92 91 92 91 90 89 87 85 83 81 Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY CHC SCH Weather type....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Temp............81 80 79 78 78 78 78 77 75 74 73 73 RH..............88 85 88 91 91 88 85 85 87 90 87 87 Surface wnd dir.E E E E NE NE W SW SW SW SW SW Surface wnd spd.22 23 28 29 31 46 44 31 24 21 22 18 Surface wnd gst.39 41 51 53 60 77 77 60 47 39 38 32 .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming sunny (10-20 percent). Max temperature.....Around 86. Min humidity........53 percent. Surface winds (mph).Southwest winds 10 to 17 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph early in the morning. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........74 51 33 24 18 16 15 10 8 6 5 4 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............72 71 73 75 79 82 84 85 86 85 85 85 RH..............87 90 81 82 74 65 61 57 53 57 55 55 Surface wnd dir.SW SW W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW Surface wnd spd.17 15 10 12 12 12 13 14 14 14 14 13 Surface wnd gst.30 26 17 20 20 20 22 23 23 23 23 22 $$ Forecaster...Rogacheski Requested by...Kevin Fetterman Type of request...OTHER .TAG 2423094.0/TAE .DELDT 09/26/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL kfetterman@responsesystem.org