Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
521 FNUS72 KTAE 151134 FWSTAE Spot Forecast for Sumatra Wildfire...Florida Forest Service National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 734 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EDT on June 15. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. ...HIGH DISPERSIONS TODAY... ...HEAT INDEX VALUES AROUND 100-105 TODAY AND AROUND 100 TOMORROW... .DISCUSSION... High pressure should keep precipitation at bay today; however, moisture will slowly begin to creep in overnight which could lead to some isolated showers or thunderstorms. Precipitation chances increase as we head into Sunday with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms being possible. Heavy rain, gusty and erratic winds, and lightning will be possible with any storms that develop. Outside of that, the main fire weather concern will be high dispersions between 70 and 75 today. In terms of the wind forecast, look for light winds of about 5mph or less from the east to continue through the morning. Winds will take on a southeasterly component by early afternoon and increase leading to sustained speeds of about 5-10 mph with gusts to 12 to 16 mph possible. Winds will begin to decrease in the early evening hours and likely become calm and variable overnight. By early Sunday morning light and variable winds become easterly and around 5mph after sunrise. The seabreeze is expected to pick up to about 5-10mph mid to late morning with gusts up to 12 to 16 mph during the afternoon. MinRH values for today are around 39 to 42 percent and should have excellent recovery tonight. Tomorrow, the moisture surge will keep minRH values higher and around 50 to 60 percent. .REST OF TODAY... TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........4 4 4 4 5 5 8 9 12 16 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............76 82 87 90 93 94 95 95 94 93 RH..............97 85 72 62 52 47 45 43 44 47 20 FT wind dir..NE E E E E E SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..1 2 3 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 20 FT wind gust.3 6 7 9 10 13 14 14 14 14 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.8 3.2 4.6 5.0 5.4 5.8 5.3 4.7 4.2 Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E SE SE Transp wind spd.6 7 8 9 10 10 12 12 12 12 Dispersion......6 17 34 53 60 64 70 67 64 59 LVORI...........6 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........16 18 21 21 24 23 20 21 21 25 29 29 Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type.... RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 Temp............91 89 86 83 81 80 80 77 77 77 76 75 RH..............54 61 70 77 85 88 85 97 94 94 97 100 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S N N N N 20 FT wind spd..7 6 5 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 20 FT wind gust.14 13 9 7 6 6 3 3 2 2 2 2 Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 2.5 1.7 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Transp wind dir.SE S S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.12 12 10 9 8 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 Dispersion......48 37 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 LVORI...........1 1 3 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 8 9 .SUNDAY... TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........36 44 40 43 45 49 55 57 59 60 63 65 Weather cov.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CWR.............20 20 40 40 40 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 LAL.............2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Temp............75 75 76 80 84 87 88 89 89 90 90 89 RH..............97 97 100 91 82 72 68 66 64 60 60 59 20 FT wind dir..N N E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S 20 FT wind spd..0 0 1 2 3 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 20 FT wind gust.2 2 3 6 7 9 10 13 14 14 14 14 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.7 1.6 2.5 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.7 Transp wind dir.S S S SE SE SE SE SE S S S S Transp wind spd.5 5 5 7 9 10 12 12 12 12 10 10 Dispersion......2 2 5 14 29 44 40 41 41 40 39 37 LVORI...........8 9 7 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 $$ Forecaster...Rogacheski Requested by...Alex Skovronsky Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2416158.0/TAE .DELDT 06/15/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Alex.skovronsky@fdacs.gov