876
FXUS62 KTBW 200600
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
200 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 153 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

VFR conditions expected overnight across most terminals, except
there is potential for radiational fog to develop as skies clear
and moist enough conditions are in place, especially near LAL. On
the other side, north to northeasterly winds prevail pushing
slightly drier over the area. This should keep POPs low with LAL
having a nonzero chance of showers or isolated storm to be near
during the afternoon. However, confidence is not high enough at
this time with highest chances expected to be east of the site.
Going into the evening, winds become easterly and increase
slightly before diminishing overnight.


&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 714 PM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024

A few inland storms drifting SE this evening. Others could possibly
develop along the outflow boundaries and drift back towards the
coast. Otherwise, conditions quiet down overnight with the NW flow
becoming light and variable. Some drier air moves over the area
this weekend limiting rain chances for the next few days.

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  90  74  91  74 /  20  10  10   0
FMY  92  74  92  74 /  30  10  30  10
GIF  91  72  91  72 /  30  10  20   0
SRQ  92  74  92  74 /  20  20  10  10
BKV  91  70  92  70 /  20   0  10   0
SPG  91  78  92  78 /  20  10  10  10

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 8
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 2

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION...Pearce/Delerme
DECISION SUPPORT...ADavis