Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
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876 FXUS62 KTBW 200600 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 200 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024 ...New AVIATION... .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 153 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024 VFR conditions expected overnight across most terminals, except there is potential for radiational fog to develop as skies clear and moist enough conditions are in place, especially near LAL. On the other side, north to northeasterly winds prevail pushing slightly drier over the area. This should keep POPs low with LAL having a nonzero chance of showers or isolated storm to be near during the afternoon. However, confidence is not high enough at this time with highest chances expected to be east of the site. Going into the evening, winds become easterly and increase slightly before diminishing overnight. && .UPDATE... Issued at 714 PM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024 A few inland storms drifting SE this evening. Others could possibly develop along the outflow boundaries and drift back towards the coast. Otherwise, conditions quiet down overnight with the NW flow becoming light and variable. Some drier air moves over the area this weekend limiting rain chances for the next few days. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 90 74 91 74 / 20 10 10 0 FMY 92 74 92 74 / 30 10 30 10 GIF 91 72 91 72 / 30 10 20 0 SRQ 92 74 92 74 / 20 20 10 10 BKV 91 70 92 70 / 20 0 10 0 SPG 91 78 92 78 / 20 10 10 10 && Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 8 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 2 For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ DISCUSSION/AVIATION...Pearce/Delerme DECISION SUPPORT...ADavis