Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
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949 FXUS62 KTBW 031315 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 915 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 ...New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE... .UPDATE... Issued at 902 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 The weather pattern this morning looks very similar to 24 hours ago. Latest radar imagery is showing isolated showers over the eastern gulf waters with the land breeze once again. Outside of those isolated showers, things are shaping up nicely this morning with mostly sunny skies and temps already in the mid 80`s. The 12Z morning sounding is showing a slight decrease in moisture over the area with a PWAT of 1.93 inches. This is still adequate moisture to support scattered showers and isolated storms this afternoon/evening. Forecast looks good with no changes needed at this time. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 902 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 VFR conditions will prevail outside of thunderstorms. Southeast winds around 5 knots expected this morning, becoming SW 5-10 knots during the afternoon. Will hold VCTS to cover thunderstorms today from 18Z through 03Z for all terminals and PROB30 for TS from 21- 23Z. Storms move over the eastern gulf after 03Z with rain-free conditions and light winds 5 knots or less expected overnight.| && .MARINE... Issued at 902 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 High pressure ridging across northern Florida and into the eastern Gulf of Mexico is producing a light wind flow with winds 10 knots or less through the rest of the week and into the weekend. Afternoon sea breeze development will produce onshore winds each day. Scattered showers and storms can be expected daily through the week and into the weekend. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 94 79 94 79 / 60 50 60 30 FMY 95 77 95 79 / 60 30 50 20 GIF 95 77 95 77 / 70 40 60 10 SRQ 93 77 94 79 / 60 50 50 30 BKV 94 75 95 75 / 70 50 60 30 SPG 94 82 94 83 / 60 50 50 30 && Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 1 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 2 For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...Wynn DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR...Carlisle