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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
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929 FXUS62 KTBW 261302 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 902 AM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024 ...New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE... .UPDATE... Issued at 854 AM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024 High pressure continues to ridge south of Florida keeping a predominant light westerly flow across the region. This is promoting isolated showers and storms to develop over the eastern gulf waters and move slowly eastward over the coastal counties this morning. These showers and storms will spread farther inland during the afternoon and evening hours and will be slow moving and may cause some localized flooding in heavier downpours. Max temps will top out in the low to mid 90`s with heat indices reaching 100-105 degrees. No changes needed to current forecast. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 854 AM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024 VFR conditions will prevail outside of thunderstorms. Light westerly winds around 5-10 knots will persist through the period. Will hold VCTS to cover thunderstorms today through 18Z for PIE/TPA/SRQ and 21Z for LAL/PGD/FMY/RSW. Storms that do develop will be slow moving. && .MARINE... Issued at 854 AM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024 A light pressure gradient remains over the eastern Gulf of Mexico for the next few days. This is producing a light onshore flow with winds 10 knots or less and seas 2 feet or less through the end of the week. Daily showers and storms will be possible each day through the period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 91 79 90 80 / 50 40 50 20 FMY 90 77 90 77 / 50 40 50 10 GIF 93 76 93 76 / 60 40 60 10 SRQ 91 79 90 78 / 50 40 50 20 BKV 93 75 91 75 / 50 30 50 20 SPG 89 81 88 81 / 50 40 50 20 && Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 4 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 5 For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...Wynn DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR...ADavis