Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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373
FXUS62 KTBW 190617
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
217 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 155 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024

Mainly VFR through the remainder of the overnight period although
brief restrictions due to low cigs will be possible as moisture
increases over the peninsula in advance of an approaching frontal
boundary. Primary period of impacts to terminals expected after
sunrise with increased likelihood of MVFR cigs followed by
VCSH/TS late morning into afternoon with associated periods of
MVFR or brief IFR as convection affects terminals. Confidence
lower for southern terminals, however an overall improving trend
expected by late afternoon into early evening from north to south
with any lingering sub-VFR conditions diminishing. Winds generally
SW-W through most of the period before slight shift to W-NW over
the latter part of the period, increasing to 8-12 knots with
higher gusts during the afternoon then diminishing to around 10
knots or less during the evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  86  75  89  73 /  70  30  30  10
FMY  92  76  91  72 /  60  40  60  20
GIF  88  72  91  70 /  70  30  40  10
SRQ  88  75  90  72 /  70  30  30  10
BKV  87  68  90  65 /  70  20  30  10
SPG  86  78  88  76 /  70  30  30  10

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 5
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Monday: 5

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

Hurt