Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
485 FNUS55 KTWC 222039 FWFTWC Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona National Weather Service Tucson AZ 139 PM MST Sat Jun 22 2024 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ .DISCUSSION... A strong increase in moisture will bring better relative humidity values along with a chance of thunderstorms into next week. Some storms will generate strong and erratic outflow winds. Moisture is expected to be deep enough for some storms to generate locally heavy rain. Temperatures may heat back up by mid week as high pressure builds nearly overhead, however we should keep some storm chances around. AZZ150-231415- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150 Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County- Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC- 139 PM MST Sat Jun 22 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Max Humidity.............55 to 65 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........30 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............2 or very low. .SUNDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........50 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............2 or very low. * Mixing Height............8720 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........West 8 to 10 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (87200 knot-ft). .SUNDAY NIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............57 to 67 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph in the evening becoming light. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............2 or very low. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............2 or very low. * Mixing Height............9620 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........West 7 to 10 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (96200 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 99 to 109. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 19 to 29 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 76 to 86. Highs 99 to 109. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 76 to 86. Highs 97 to 107. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 97 to 107. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 98 to 108. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT LOCATION (2550 MSL) $$ AZZ151-231415- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151 Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County- Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County- Santa Cruz County-TDC- 139 PM MST Sat Jun 22 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............67 to 77 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........50 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .SUNDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............35 to 45 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........60 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............2 or very low. * Mixing Height............7383 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northwest 8 to 11 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (81213 knot-ft). .SUNDAY NIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............69 to 79 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening becoming light. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 5 mph shifting to the south after midnight. * Chance of Precip.........60 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. * Max Temperature..........90 to 100 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............32 to 42 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........70 pct. * LAL......................5. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............8170 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northwest 8 to 11 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (89870 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 91 to 101. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 27 to 37 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69 to 79. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 30 to 40 pct. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69 to 79. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 32 to 42 pct. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 90 to 100. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 91 to 101. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION (3500 MSL) $$ AZZ152-231415- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152 Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation- Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC- 139 PM MST Sat Jun 22 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............60 to 70 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .SUNDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........90 to 100 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........50 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............9897 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........East 8 knots shifting to the south in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (79176 knot-ft). .SUNDAY NIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........68 to 78 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............62 to 72 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........30 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. * Max Temperature..........91 to 101 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........60 pct. * LAL......................5. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............8957 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northwest 8 to 12 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (107484 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69 to 79. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 23 to 33 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 70 to 80. Highs 93 to 103. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 24 to 34 pct. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69 to 79. Highs 90 to 100. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 29 to 39 pct. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 90 to 100. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 91 to 101. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL) $$ AZZ153-231415- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153 Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County- White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF- Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC- 139 PM MST Sat Jun 22 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............64 to 74 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .SUNDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............29 to 39 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........50 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............8415 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........East 8 knots shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Good (67320 knot-ft). .SUNDAY NIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............60 to 70 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the northeast after midnight. * Chance of Precip.........20 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. * Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............33 to 43 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........70 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............10247 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........West 7 to 12 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (122964 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 27 to 37 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 28 to 38 pct. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 81 to 91. Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 36 to 46 pct. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 81 to 91. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 82 to 92. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL) $$ AZZ154-231415- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154 Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC- 139 PM MST Sat Jun 22 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............61 to 71 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .SUNDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............34 to 44 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........50 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............12841 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northeast 9 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (115569 knot-ft). .SUNDAY NIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............64 to 74 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. * Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............39 to 49 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........70 pct. * LAL......................5. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............12117 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northwest 8 to 11 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (115111 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 31 to 41 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 81 to 91. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 33 to 43 pct. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 79 to 89. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 39 to 49 pct. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 79 to 89. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 80 to 90. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson