Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
044 FNUS55 KTWC 141012 FWFTWC Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona National Weather Service Tucson AZ 312 AM MST Fri Jun 14 2024 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MST THIS EVENING... +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ .DISCUSSION...Weak virga showers will persist through the morning with a lightning strike or two possible. Expect min RH values of 3-9 percent in the lower elevations and 7-15 percent in the mountains through this weekend, along with poor overnight recoveries between 20-35 percent in most locations. 20-foot winds will follow typical diurnal patterns, with afternoon/early evening gustiness due to strong surface heating. Winds will increase today especially in areas near the Arizona / New Mexico border, where a Red Flag Warning remains in effect. Another chance of increased winds may arrive on Monday. AZZ150-142215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150 Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County- Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC- 312 AM MST Fri Jun 14 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Sunny. * Max Temperature..........98 to 108 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............3 to 10 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 25 mph becoming west around 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............5 or moderate. * Mixing Height............10790 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........South 11 knots shifting to the west 14 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (151060 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear. * Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............18 to 28 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph in the evening becoming light. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 20 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............4 or low. .SATURDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature..........101 to 111 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............4 to 11 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............5 or moderate. * Mixing Height............10875 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........South 7 knots shifting to the west 9 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (97875 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 100 to 110. South wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 4 to 14 pct. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 95 to 105. South wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 16 pct. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 94 to 104. South wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 18 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 96 to 106. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 104 to 114. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT LOCATION (2550 MSL) $$ AZZ151-142215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151 Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County- Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County- Santa Cruz County-TDC- 312 AM MST Fri Jun 14 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............4 to 8 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph increasing to southwest around 15 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 30 mph decreasing to around 20 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............5 or moderate. * Mixing Height............9231 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 20 to 24 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (221544 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Clear. * Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs. * Max Humidity.............16 to 26 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph in the evening becoming light. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 15 mph shifting to the north after midnight. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............4 or low. .SATURDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Sunny. * Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............5 to 10 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............5 or moderate. * Mixing Height............10697 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 7 to 10 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (106970 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 95 to 105. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 91 to 101. Southwest wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 13 pct. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 90 to 100. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 15 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 92 to 102. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 98 to 108. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION (3500 MSL) $$ AZZ152-142215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152 Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation- Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC- 312 AM MST Fri Jun 14 2024 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MST THIS EVENING... .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny. * Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs. * Min Humidity.............4 to 9 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 15 mph increasing to southwest around 20 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............14007 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 20 to 25 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (350175 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear. * Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs. * Max Humidity.............15 to 25 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 20 mph becoming northwest around 10 mph after 9 PM. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 15 mph shifting to the northwest after midnight. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............4 or low. .SATURDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Sunny. * Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............4 to 11 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 15 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 10 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............5 or moderate. * Mixing Height............10208 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........West 7 to 11 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (112288 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 94 to 104. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 11 pct. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 92 to 102. Southwest wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 10 pct. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 90 to 100. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 13 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 93 to 103. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 95 to 105. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL) $$ AZZ153-142215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153 Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County- White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF- Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC- 312 AM MST Fri Jun 14 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers. * Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs. * Min Humidity.............6 to 13 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph increasing to southwest 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip.........20 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............13337 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 25 knots shifting to the southwest 27 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (360099 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear. * Min Temperature..........56 to 66 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs. * Max Humidity.............24 to 34 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the north after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. .SATURDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............7 to 14 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............10352 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........North 8 knots shifting to the west 12 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (124224 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 84 to 94. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 12 pct. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 81 to 91. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 12 pct. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 52 to 62. Highs 80 to 90. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 14 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 82 to 92. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 84 to 94. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL) $$ AZZ154-142215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154 Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC- 312 AM MST Fri Jun 14 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny. * Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............4 to 10 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph increasing to southwest around 20 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............14845 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 22 to 25 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (348857 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Clear. * Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs. * Max Humidity.............14 to 20 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 20 mph becoming northwest around 10 mph after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 20 mph shifting to the northwest after midnight. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............4 or low. .SATURDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Sunny. * Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............4 to 13 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 10 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............5 or moderate. * Mixing Height............11414 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........West 7 to 11 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (102726 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 84 to 94. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 13 pct. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 82 to 92. Southwest wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 12 pct. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 80 to 90. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 17 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 82 to 92. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 86 to 96. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson