Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
924 FNUS55 KTWC 120958 FWFTWC Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona National Weather Service Tucson AZ 258 AM MST Wed Jun 12 2024 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ .DISCUSSION...Hot temperatures this week, with high temperatures 7-10 degrees above normal through Thursday and then 3-6 degrees above normal Friday through the weekend. Limited mid-level moisture will result in a slight chance of mainly dry thunderstorms in the higher terrain northeast of Tucson late Thursday and Friday. These storms may produce gusty and erratic winds, along with occasional lightning. Expect min RH values of 3-9 percent in the lower elevations and 7-15 percent in the mountains through this weekend, along with poor overnight recoveries between 20-35 percent in most locations. Outside of any thunderstorm outflows, 20-foot winds will follow typical diurnal patterns, with afternoon/early evening gustiness due to strong surface heating. Sustained 20-foot wind speeds will generally be 15 mph or less today, increasing to around 15 mph Thursday. Thereafter, elevated winds at 15-22 mph and gusts to around 35-40 mph along the Arizona/New Mexico border Friday. This will result in critical fire weather conditions. Therefore, A Fire Weather Watch is in effect Friday for Fire Weather Zone 152 (including Cochise, Graham and Greenlee counties). Afternoon breezes continue this weekend but below critical levels. AZZ150-122345- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150 Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County- Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC- 258 AM MST Wed Jun 12 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Sunny. * Max Temperature..........102 to 112 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............4 to 8 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 15 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............12408 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........South 8 knots shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (161304 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature..........71 to 81 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs. * Max Humidity.............14 to 24 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph in the evening becoming light. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. .THURSDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........102 to 112 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............5 to 10 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............14961 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northwest 8 knots shifting to the west 15 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (224415 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 98 to 108. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 4 to 9 pct. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 102 to 112. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 10 pct. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 100 to 110. South wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 16 pct. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 97 to 107. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 95 to 105. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT LOCATION (2550 MSL) $$ AZZ151-122345- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151 Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County- Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County- Santa Cruz County-TDC- 258 AM MST Wed Jun 12 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Sunny then becoming partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........98 to 108 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............5 to 11 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 15 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............12871 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........North 7 knots shifting to the southwest 14 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (180194 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs. * Max Humidity.............15 to 25 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the northeast after midnight. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. .THURSDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............7 to 12 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............15386 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northwest 9 knots shifting to the southwest 15 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (230790 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 94 to 104. Southwest wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 9 pct. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 96 to 106. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 10 pct. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 96 to 106. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 93 to 103. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 91 to 101. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION (3500 MSL) $$ AZZ152-122345- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152 Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation- Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC- 258 AM MST Wed Jun 12 2024 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature..........98 to 108 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............5 to 10 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 15 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............15297 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........North 8 knots shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (198861 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear. * Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs. * Max Humidity.............15 to 25 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 5 mph shifting to the east after midnight. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. .THURSDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........99 to 109 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............5 to 10 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............16616 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northwest 9 knots shifting to the southwest 16 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (265856 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 95 to 105. West wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 10 pct. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 96 to 106. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 10 pct. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 96 to 106. West wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 10 pct. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 94 to 104. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 92 to 102. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL) $$ AZZ153-122345- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153 Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County- White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF- Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC- 258 AM MST Wed Jun 12 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Sunny then becoming partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............6 to 12 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 5 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............14510 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........East 10 knots shifting to the west 12 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (174120 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Max Humidity.............19 to 29 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the east after midnight. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. .THURSDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............6 to 12 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............15105 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northeast 11 knots shifting to the south 15 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (226575 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 84 to 94. Northwest wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 12 pct. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 86 to 96. Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 11 pct. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 86 to 96. Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 82 to 92. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 80 to 90. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL) $$ AZZ154-122345- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154 Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC- 258 AM MST Wed Jun 12 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Sunny then becoming partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............6 to 13 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............16180 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northeast 9 knots shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (226520 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Max Humidity.............14 to 20 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 15 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the east after midnight. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. .THURSDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............7 to 14 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph increasing to west around 20 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............17247 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........North 11 knots shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (275952 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 85 to 95. West wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 12 pct. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 85 to 95. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 12 pct. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 85 to 95. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 12 pct. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 83 to 93. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 81 to 91. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson