Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
851
FNUS55 KTWC 282046
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
146 PM MST Fri Jun 28 2024
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...
Relatively deep moisture will stick around through
the forecast period. This will bring widely scattered to scattered
thunderstorms and showers today and Saturday, mainly south and
east of Tucson. Moisture will increase more through the weekend
and into next week to bring higher chances and coverage for
thunderstorms and showers each day. Strong erratic gusty winds of
40 mph or higher can be expected with any storm development, along
with locally brief heavy rainfall. Outside of thunderstorm winds,
20-foot winds will generally be 15 mph or less each afternoon
with the occasional gust of 20 mph. Min RHs will generally be
around 20% in the valleys and 30s in the mountains with good
overnight recoveries.
AZZ150-291430-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
146 PM MST Fri Jun 28 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............49 to 59 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........99 to 109 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............20 to 30 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............5516 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 9 knots shifting to the
northwest 10 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (55160 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........77 to 87 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............44 to 54 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........100 to 110 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............20 to 30 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............12348 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 8 knots shifting to the
northwest 9 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (111132 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
25 to 35 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 98 to 108. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
23 to 33 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 76 to 86. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
30 to 40 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 95 to 105.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 100 to 110.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-291430-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
146 PM MST Fri Jun 28 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............63 to 73 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............4610 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (50710 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............58 to 68 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
* Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 20 mph decreasing to
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................5.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............9889 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northeast 10 knots shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (98890 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
33 to 43 pct.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 67 to 77. Highs
90 to 100. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 31 to 41 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
40 to 50 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 87 to 97.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 92 to 102.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-291430-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
146 PM MST Fri Jun 28 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........68 to 78 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............58 to 68 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 16 to 20 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............8731 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 12 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (113503 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............58 to 68 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
east after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 10 mph increasing to
east around 20 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............22 to 32 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............11971 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 15 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (191536 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
29 to 39 pct.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 66 to 76. Highs
90 to 100. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 30 to 40 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
35 to 45 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 88 to 98.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 92 to 102.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-291430-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
146 PM MST Fri Jun 28 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............54 to 64 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 22 to 26 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............10339 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 11 knots shifting to the northwest
10 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (103390 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............58 to 68 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 10 mph increasing to
southeast around 25 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............27 to 37 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............11899 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (178485 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
35 to 45 pct.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 60 to 70. Highs
78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 36 to 46 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorms likely and chance of showers. Lows
61 to 71. Highs 77 to 87. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 38 to
48 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 80 to 90.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 84 to 94.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-291430-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
146 PM MST Fri Jun 28 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............59 to 69 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............29 to 39 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10200 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 11 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (122400 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............58 to 68 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
east after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 10 mph increasing to around
20 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............32 to 42 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................5.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............13669 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 13 knots shifting to the southeast
in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (177697 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
39 to 49 pct.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 62 to 72. Highs
79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 39 to 49 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 76 to 86. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
50 to 60 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 77 to 87.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 81 to 91.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson