334
FNUS75 KTWC 211921
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Brandmen...San Carlos
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
1221 PM MST Fri Jun 21 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 MST on June 21.

.DISCUSSION...Expect isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms
beginning mid-afternoon and continuing through the evening. Some
showers could persist overnight. Expect another round of storms
Saturday afternoon and evening. The main threats with storms will be
strong winds 40-50 mph, lightning, and brief localized heavy rainfall.
Outside of storms winds will be easterly 10-20 mph with higher gusts
in the afternoon. Winds turn northeast Saturday night. Min RH values
will be around 30 percent with good overnight recoveries.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....93-96 degrees.
Min humidity........31-34 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to
                    around 30 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 19 knots.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening, then slight
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent decreasing to 20 percent overnight.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....76-79 degrees.
Max humidity........54-57 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 20 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL decreasing to 100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 18 knots.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent increasing to 60 percent in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....95-98 degrees.
Min humidity........28-31 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph with gusts to 20
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......10000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 11 to 13 knots.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening, then slight
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent decreasing to 20 percent overnight.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....77-80 degrees.
Max humidity........51-54 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 14 knots.

$$
Forecaster...HARDIN
Requested by...Cordaryl Cody
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416494.0/TWC
.DELDT 06/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azphc@firenet.gov

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