Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
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153 FXUS64 KLCH 082051 AFDLCH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 351 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE... .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Monday night) Issued at 156 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2024 Aloft we have the ridge centered over the CWA. This will help in suppressing any afternoon convection for the rest of the day and into tomorrow as the upper ridge repositions itself over the northcentral Gulf of Mexico. From Sunday, near zonal to WNW flow setting up over the area. Closer to the surface we have the area of high pressure centered over the southeast, with it elongated over the CWA. Winds across our area are mostly light and variable to southerly. As the high continues to drift away, we will see southerly flow become more established over us. With moisture return, expect an increase in cloud cover. While the ridge should suppress most of the activity today, we could see some diurnal and light activity tomorrow over the waters, however PoPs onshore remain less than 15% at the moment. Our next shot of rain will come on Monday as a front approaches and moves through the area. Isolated to scattered showers and storms are expected to ramp up over the late morning hours and linger into the late afternoon timeframe. Severe weather and heavy rain are not expected at this time. Stigger/87 && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through next Friday) Issued at 156 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2024 Very little change in thinking for the longterm forecast period. A weak frontal boundary draped along the Louisiana coastline will be the main focus of shower and thunderstorm activity each afternoon. Daily daytime PoPs in the ballpark of 30 to 50 percent can be expected. Temperatures in the low 90s and high humidity will bring about Heat Indices around 100 each day with a slow increase into the lower 100s by the end of the work week. 11/Calhoun && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1241 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2024 VFR CIGs and VIS ongoing and expected to last for a majority of the period with a possible exception to the overnight hours. Some of the models are hinting at overnight light patchy fog in the 06-15Z period. While widespread dense fog is not expected, a few terminals could see patchy dense fog in the short hours before sunrise with fog dissipating after that. Stigger/87 && .MARINE... Issued at 156 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2024 A light to occasionally moderate onshore flow will persist into early next week, becoming somewhat variable as a weak front stalls near the coast. Dry weather is expected to prevail into tonight, with rain chances increasing over the northwest Gulf of Mexico on Sunday...spreading to the inland lakes and bays by Monday. From there through the work week, daily isolated to scattered showers and storms can be expected. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AEX 71 93 71 90 / 0 0 0 20 LCH 74 90 74 92 / 0 0 0 40 LFT 75 93 74 93 / 0 10 0 40 BPT 75 91 74 93 / 0 10 0 30 && .LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...87 LONG TERM....11 AVIATION...87