390
FXUS64 KLUB 210523
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1223 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 233 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

An upper-level ridge is currently centered over the ArkLaTex and is
expected to build westward towards our forecast area through the
short term period. Meanwhile, southeasterly surface winds have
maintained a moist environment this afternoon, influenced by the
remnants of Tropical Storm Alberto in northern Mexico. With cloud
cover and scattered showers moving northward through the CWA this
afternoon, high temperatures today are expected to be relatively
cool. Tonight`s lows should be mild, with low to mid 60s dewpoints
and continued cloud cover preventing much cooling overnight. Showers
will decrease in coverage tonight from the Rolling Plains first,
then westward. However, the western South Plains and far southwest
TXPH may see intermittent showers through Friday afternoon. Expect
seasonable temperatures tomorrow, with most areas 5-10 degrees
warmer than today`s highs.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 233 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

As we head into the weekend with a ridge moving to the west, cloud
cover will decrease as temperatures will begin to rise. Despite the
rising temperatures, the region will retain moisture quite well,
leading to heat indexes into the 90`s on Saturday and Sunday and
possibly into the low 100`s during the middle of next week, with
both Wednesday and Thursday representing the hottest days of the
forecast. Cloud cover and PoPs are also expected to increase for
Wednesday and Thursday, which both have the potential for low-end
severe weather scattered across the CWA. Although the severe weather
has the potential to reduce high temperatures, they remain far into
the forecast period, so confidence is low.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1219 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

VFR CIGs prevail early this morning but will be threatened by MVFR
CIGs around sunrise at KLBB and KPVW. In addition, lingering
showers will continue in the vicinity of LBB/PVW beginning around
sunrise where they are expected to diminish around midday.


&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...58
LONG TERM....58
AVIATION...12