188
FNAK79 PAFG 281441
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 301 Fickett...Alaska Fire Service
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
641 AM AKDT Fri Jun 28 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 AKDT on June 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and
evening then diminish overnight. Any thunderstorm will have the
potential to produce hail, heavy rain, frequent lightning and
gusty winds to 40 mph. Temperatures will be warm, in the mid 70s
but mind RHs remain relatively wet in the mid 40s%. Similar story
tomorrow in terms of the temps and RH, but the bulk of the
thunderstorms will be moving north and east leaving only an
isolated storm chance near the fire. However, any storm can still
bring gusty, erratic wind gusts to 40 mph and frequent lightning.
Otherwise, cooler and potentially wetter weather looks probable
towards next week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the day. Scattered showers through the
                    day. Isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................26 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 9 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Light and variable winds this morning turn
                    southwest at 12 to 18 mph during the afternoon.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL increasing to 4000 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Inversion burnoff...7 AM AKDT.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the night. Scattered rain showers and
                    isolated thunderstorms in the evening. Isolated
                    showers and thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 7 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms overnight.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 12 to 18 mph weakening to
                    southwest at 9 to 13 mph after midnight.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL decreasing to 700 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 12 mph.
Inversion setup.....12 AM AKDT.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Areas of smoke.
                    Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 9 to 13 mph in the morning
                    turn west-northwest at 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL increasing to 6000 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Inversion burnoff...7 AM AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Areas of
smoke. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80. North winds
around 7 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds around 7 mph.

$$
Forecaster...BIANCO
Requested by...YFDC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416862.0/AFG
.DELDT 06/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0