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FNAK79 PAFG 271452
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 259 Flasco...Alaska Fire Service
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
652 AM AKDT Thu Jun 27 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 AKDT on June 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
AKDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM AKDT FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
Hot, dry and windy conditions are expected today with winds
coming from the east. There will also be isolated thunderstorms
this afternoon and they have the potential to be dry. Fortunately,
the bulk of the lightning activity will stay to the southwest of
the fire today. Tomorrow, there is another Red Flag Warning in
effect for scattered thunderstorms near the fire. It will be
another hot day tomorrow, but not as dry so these thunderstorms
are expected to be wet. Temperatures will remain in the 80s
through the weekend with min RHs around 30%.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (50-60 percent). Areas of smoke through
                    the day. Isolated thunderstorms in the morning.
                    Isolated showers through the day. Isolated
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the morning.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......East winds 10 to 18 mph weakening after 5 PM
                    to 5 mph at from the east.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL increasing to 8300 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Inversion burnoff...8 AM AKDT.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the night. Isolated thunderstorms in
                    the evening. Isolated rain showers through the
                    night. Isolated thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Ridgetop wind.......East winds at 5 mph shift south around 10 PM
                    at 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 7 mph.
Inversion setup.....12 AM AKDT.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the day. Scattered rain showers in the
                    morning. Numerous rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......South winds at 5 to 8 mph shift southwest
                    around 10 AM at 5 mph. Winds then shift
                    west in the afternoon at 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL increasing to 6100 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and early afternoon, then
                    decreasing to 4000 ft AGL late in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 8 mph.
Inversion burnoff...8 AM AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Areas of smoke. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Areas of smoke. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. North winds around
6 mph.

$$
Forecaster...BIANCO
Requested by...YTDC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416717.2/AFG
.DELDT 06/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0