497
AXPZ20 KNHC 080856
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Sat Jun 8 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0800 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 124W from 15N to 02N, moving W at around
5 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 07N to 10N
between 120W and 124W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 13N89W to 08N135W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 06N to 15N
east of 115W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A subtropical ridge centered well west of Baja California
supports moderate NW winds across the Baja California offshore
waters, with seas of 5 to 7 ft. Gentle to moderate winds and
slight seas are present in the Gulf of California.

Elsewhere in the Mexican offshore waters, including the Gulf of
Tehuantepec, light to gentle winds and moderate seas prevail.
Hazy conditions persist off southern and SW Mexico, including the
Gulf of Tehuantepec, due to agricultural fires over southern
Mexico and Central America, reducing visibility to around 5 nm at
times.

For the forecast, moderate NW winds will continue off Baja
California into the middle of next week. Fresh winds will push
through the mountain gaps and reach the Gulf of California in the
night and morning hours during the next few days. Hazy
conditions caused by smoke from agricultural fires in Mexico will
continue offshore of SW and southern Mexico for the next couple
of days, reducing visibility to near 5 nm at times.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

The monsoon trough remains located farther north than its usual
climatological position for this time of the year. This results
in gentle to moderate SW-W winds in the offshore waters of
Central America. SW swell produces seas of 5 to 7 ft across the
area described. Mainly gentle winds and moderate seas are evident
in the Gulf of Papagayo and south of the equator.

Hazy conditions persist over the offshore waters of Guatemala and
El Salvador due to smoke from agricultural fires in southern
Mexico and Central America.

For the forecast, light to gentle winds will prevail north of 10N,
while gentle to moderate winds are expected south of 10N for the
next few days. Meanwhile, hazy conditions caused by smoke from
agricultural fires over Mexico and Central America may reduce
visibilities mainly over the northern Central American offshore
waters for the next couple of days.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A 1020 mb high pressure system is centered near 30N135W and
continues to dominate the remainder of the tropical eastern
Pacific. This is leading to mainly gentle N winds and seas of 5
to 7 ft for waters N of 20N.

Farther south, gentle to moderate NE winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft
are occurring from the ITCZ to 20N and west of 130W. Moderate
southerly winds and seas of 6-8 ft are also noted south of the
monsoon trough and east of 115W. Elsewhere, mainly gentle winds
and moderate seas are prevalent.

For the forecast, high pressure will dominate the area while
weakening slowly over the next couple of days. Moderate to
occasionally fresh winds and seas of 8-9 ft will continue across
the eastern EPAC and expand into the central waters near and
south of the monsoon through the weekend.

$$
Konarik