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Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
420 FNUS75 KFGZ 261345 FWSFGZ Spot Forecast for Blue Bell Fire...Forest Service National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 645 AM MST Wed Jun 26 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MST on June 26. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ .DISCUSSION...Scattered showers and thunderstorms are once again expected to develop this afternoon. With such light general winds right now, afternoon winds will become outflow dominated by nearby storms. The increase in moisture allowing for storms to develop will continue to allow afternoon RHs to remain elevated. Despite the developing clouds this afternoon, sunny to mostly sunny skies this morning should allow for quick warming with highs possibly nearing the upper 90s before clouds can start limiting heating. Tonight, shower and thunderstorm activity will linger into the first part of the evening, with activity decreasing overtime. Good overnight RH recovery expected. Winds will be light and variable. Thursday will be notably different than the past several days. Overall drier weather is expected with with breezy winds in the afternoon: winds could gust as high as 30 mph. An isolated shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon can not be totally ruled out though. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny to partly cloudy in the morning. Becoming partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Max temperature.....Around 96. Min humidity........32 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph late in the morning. Winds will become outflow dominated in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. LAL.................3. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Max Vent Rate.......Good. Clearing Index......654. Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 0 to 5 knots shifting to the west late in the afternoon. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. Min temperature.....Around 73. Max humidity........59 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. LAL.................1. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Min Vent Rate.......Poor. Clearing Index......2. Mixing height.......100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly Sunny, becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. Max temperature.....Around 97. Min humidity........26 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph. LAL.................1. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Max Vent Rate.......Excellent. Clearing Index......1334. Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 knots shifting to the southwest around 15 knots in the afternoon. $$ Forecaster...ROAKES Requested by...Forest Service Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2416659.2/FGZ .DELDT 06/26/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL micheal.williams@usda.gov