887
FXUS64 KHUN 061829
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
129 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM...

.NEAR TERM...
(Tonight)
Issued at 129 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024

By this evening, a clear sky will be in place as drier air begins
overspreading the TN valley. Dew points have dipped into the lower
to middle 60s in north central and northwest TN. A cold front in
southern IL and MO will arrive later tonight, shifting the wind to
the northwest. However, wind speed will remain light, so will not
rule out patchy fog despite a frontal passage. Morning lows will
be in the lower to middle 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Friday through Saturday night)
Issued at 129 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024

High pressure will settle into the TN valley late Friday into
Friday night. High temperatures will reach the lower 80s for most
areas, with noticeably lower humidity. The drier and cooler air
will result in Saturday morning lows in the upper 50s to around
60. 5h flow will become west-northwest from the central Plains
into the OH valley on Saturday, which brings a fast moving
shortwave and MCS through the lower MO valley into the OH valley
Saturday into Saturday night. This is followed by additional MCS
development in KS and southern MO which may spill into TN and
perhaps far north AL by early Sunday morning. For now, have kept
low chances after midnight Sunday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 359 AM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024

The afore-mentioned cold front will probably move southward
through the TN Valley, and perhaps even farther into the Southeast
and Gulf Coastal Plain region early next week. This solution is
supported generally by the latest 00Z operational guidance suite.
However, some of the global ensemble suite is not supportive of
this solution and tend to indicate the front may have slower
movement through the region, perhaps stalling in the vicinity of
the TN Valley. So, slight chance POPs were retained for the
period from Monday through Wed next week to account for this
uncertainty.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1114 AM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024

Ceilings of 015-030agl (MVFR) will scatter and clear by 20-21Z
with conditions remaining VFR the remainder of the period. A cold
front will shift winds to the northwest by 05Z tonight.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...17
SHORT TERM....17
LONG TERM....KDW
AVIATION...17